Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Sandy Alcantara (MIA) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1111)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Sandy Alcantara for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. His L5 home SO average is 6.2, which is significantly higher than the line of 2.5. This indicates he has been consistently achieving more strikeouts than the proposed line when playing at home. Additionally, his L5 overall SO average and L5 vs opponent SO average are both above the line, at 3.2 and 3.8 respectively. This suggests that regardless of location or opponent, Alcantara has been consistently achieving more than 2.5 strikeouts. His L5 home IP average and L5 vs opponent IP average also demonstrate that he typically pitches for enough innings to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts. Therefore, the statistics support the bet for Alcantara to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts.
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies : Over 1.5 alternate_team_totals (-714)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Miami Marlins Over 1.5' in the Team Total Runs (Alternate) market is backed by several key statistical insights. Firstly, the model prediction of 5.79 runs for the Marlins far exceeds the line of 1.5, indicating a strong chance of the team scoring over 1.5 runs. Additionally, the Phillies' recent defensive performance is encouraging for this bet, with an average of 5.8 runs allowed in their last 5 games overall. The Marlins' recent performance against the Phillies is also promising, with a winning record of 3-2. Despite a lower home scoring average, the Marlins have shown an ability to generate hits, averaging 4.8 bat hits in their last 5 games, which can translate into runs. The Phillies' average of 3.2 pitcher walks in their last 5 away games also provides more opportunities for the Marlins to score.
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies : Under 12.5 Total Runs (-625)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The 'Under 12.5' bet for the Total Runs in the Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies game is a good choice considering the recent performance data. The Marlins have been struggling to score at home, averaging just 1.4 runs in their last five home games. The Phillies aren't faring much better on the road, averaging only 1.8 runs in their last five away games. Additionally, both teams have shown decent defensive performance, with the Marlins allowing an average of 2.8 runs at home and the Phillies allowing 4 runs away. The low batting averages, home runs, and high pitcher strikeouts for both teams further suggest a low-scoring game. The model's prediction of 9.19 total runs, significantly below the line of 12.5, also supports this. Therefore, the 'Under 12.5' bet seems statistically sound.