Winning bets for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Bailey Smith. Explore AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats stats and odds.
Bailey Smith (Geelong Cats) Over 24.5 Disposals (-400)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Bailey Smith's recent form, especially in away games, supports betting on him to exceed 24.5 disposals against North Melbourne. With an average of 33.8 disposals in his last five away games and a high disposalefficiency of 65.8%, Smith consistently generates possessions. His 31 disposals average against this opponent and an overall hit rate of 14/15 in his last games further strengthen this bet. Smith's ability to maintain an 8-game hit streak when playing away, paired with his solid contested possessions and metres gained stats, indicates a high likelihood of surpassing the predicted 30.1 disposals. Betting on Smith to go over 24.5 disposals presents a favorable opportunity based on his recent performances and historical consistency.
Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-278)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Oliver Dempsey is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming North Melbourne vs. Geelong Cats clash based on his recent form. With an impressive average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 away games and a 71.3% goal accuracy, Dempsey has been clinical in front of the big sticks. His involvement in scores, indicated by 6.8 score involvements per game, showcases his impact on the team's attacking plays. Furthermore, facing an opponent where he averages 2 goals in their last encounters enhances his goal-scoring potential. With a model predicting him to score 1.2 goals, Dempsey's consistent goal-scoring streak and high shot accuracy make him a reliable bet to hit the scoreboard in this matchup.
Brad Close (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-244)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Brad Close, with a solid L5 average of 0.8 goals per away game and facing North Melbourne, against whom he averages 1 goal per game, presents a promising opportunity to snag a goal. His goal accuracy of 53.3% and involvement in 5.8 scores per game enhance his scoring potential. Additionally, his consistent performance with 1.6 shots at goal per game and 1.2 marks inside 50 suggest he actively contributes to Geelong's attacking plays. The model's prediction of 1.1 goals, with a 5.4% edge, aligns well with Close's recent form and matchup history, indicating a high likelihood of him splitting the middle in this game. Bet on Brad Close to score anytime for a rewarding outcome.
Dylan Stephens (North Melbourne) Over 14.5 Disposals (-222)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Dylan Stephens is poised to shine with an Over 14.5 Disposals in the upcoming North Melbourne vs. Geelong clash. His recent form, averaging 21.4 disposals in home games, surpasses the line comfortably. Against Geelong, he's maintained a solid 19 disposals average. With a model predicting 17.5 disposals and a 3.7% edge, Stephens' consistency in contested possessions (6.2 avg) and disposal efficiency (67.0%) bodes well. His ability to generate meters gained (355.6 avg) and intercepts (3.8 avg) adds to his potential. Despite a current hit streak of 0, his overall hit rate of 12/15 instills confidence in this bet.
Jack Darling (North Melbourne) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-238)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jack Darling is a solid bet to score anytime in the upcoming game against Geelong Cats based on his recent performance data. With an average of 0.6 goals in his last 5 home games and a promising goal accuracy of 30.0%, Darling has shown consistency in finding the big sticks. Additionally, his involvement in the scoring plays, averaging 1.8 score involvements per game, indicates his active presence in North Melbourne's attacking movements. Given his impressive 80.0% goal accuracy overall and the matchup against a team where he averages 1.5 goals in their last 5 encounters, the data suggests Darling is likely to continue his scoring form, making the 'Anytime Goalscorer' bet a favorable choice.
Luke Parker (North Melbourne) Over 19.5 Disposals (-294)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Luke Parker is poised to shine in this matchup. With a model-predicted 23.1 disposals and recent form averaging 20.8 disposals in home games, he's well positioned to surpass the 19.5 line. Against the Geelong Cats, Parker has a history of racking up disposals, averaging 24.5 in his last five home games against them. His proficiency is evident with a solid 57.9% disposal efficiency at home. Additionally, his 394.8 average metres gained showcase his ability to transition play effectively. Despite a recent hit rate of 5/6 for disposals overs, Parker's consistency and favorable matchup make this bet on him exceeding 19.5 disposals a compelling choice.
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