Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets roll into Orlando, keep an eye on Moussa Diabate and consider betting the under on his rebounds at 10.5. While Diabate has shown flashes of brilliance, he's been averaging just 8.6 boards over his last five games, and even more telling, only 8 when playing away. Against the Magic, he's been held to just 7 rebounds in recent matchups. Sure, he's found success against them in the past with an average of 10.3 on the road, but those performances seem like outliers rather than the norm. The pressure of playing away could keep him from hitting double digits again. With a hit rate of 5 out of 6 recently, this trend aligns well with the numbers. Diabate's expected value here hovers around 7.93, which makes the under a compelling choice as he battles Orlando's frontcourt.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In tonight's matchup between the Orlando Magic and Charlotte Hornets, targeting Moussa Diabate for under 12.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy play. Diabate has been solid but not overpowering, averaging just 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists over his last five games. When on the road, those numbers dip slightly, with 8 boards and 3.2 assists per game. Against the Hornets, he's averaged only 7 rebounds and 1.2 assists in their recent encounters. Notably, when playing away, that assist average drops to 2, making the 12.5 total a tough hill to climb. With a hit rate of 75% in his last four games and 66% in his last six away games, the trends favor the under. It seems Diabate might struggle to find the necessary contributions against a Magic defense that limits opportunities. Betting the under here could be a smart move.

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 4.5 Threes Made (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets prepare to take on the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on LaMelo Ball, but the smart money might just be on the Under for his threes made at 4.5. While he's been a prolific scorer, averaging an impressive 5.2 threes over his last five games, that number dips to 5 when he's on the road. Historically, he's only managed about three threes against the Magic, and that trend tends to continue when playing away, as he averages just 3.8 against them in that setting. In fact, over his last 11 away games, he's only cleared this mark in 7. With the Magic's perimeter defense tightening up, it's reasonable to expect LaMelo to fall short this time around. Given the expected stat value of 3.35, betting the Under feels like a savvy play in this matchup.

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