Deep dive into Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Zach Neto (LAA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Zach Neto's recent performance data strongly supports the bet for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market. Over the last five games, Neto has not stolen a single base, whether playing at home or away. This is confirmed by his L5 Overall SB Avg and L5 Away SB Avg, both of which are zero. Furthermore, his average of being caught stealing while playing away is 0.4, indicating a higher risk when attempting to steal bases. Even when facing the Phillies, his L5 vs Opp SB Avg remains zero, showing no increase in stolen bases against this specific opponent. Despite his impressive hit streak, Neto's stolen base statistics remain consistently low, providing a strong rationale for betting Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market.
Jesus Luzardo (PHI) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-833)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Jesus Luzardo's statistics suggest a strong rationale for the Over 0.5 bet in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. His performance data shows a consistent pattern of allowing walks, with an average of 1.4 walks per game overall and 1.2 at home. This trend is also seen in his past five games against the Angels, where he averaged 1.3 walks. Furthermore, Luzardo's innings pitched (IP) and outs averages, both overall and at home, indicate that he spends significant time on the mound, increasing the likelihood of conceding a walk. His current home hit streak of 30 games further strengthens the case for this bet. In sum, Luzardo's historical performance data, coupled with his current form, strongly suggest that he will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game.
Taylor Ward (LAA) Over 0.5 Hits (-169)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Taylor Ward has shown consistent performance in recent games, particularly in away matches. His current hit streak stands at 5 for away games, indicating a strong ability to perform in unfamiliar environments. Ward's average hits in the last five away games is 1.2, which is significantly higher than the line of 0.5. Furthermore, when facing the Phillies, his average hits increase to 1.5, suggesting he performs well against this specific opposition. His plate appearances also remain consistent, averaging 4 in the last five games overall, 4.4 in away games, and 4 against the Phillies. This consistent opportunity to hit coupled with his recent performance trends make the bet for Over 0.5 a solid choice.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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