Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 7.5 Rebounds (+116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Amen Thompson hits the hardwood against the Phoenix Suns, the numbers suggest a compelling case for taking the under on his rebound total at 7.5. While he's shown flashes of talent, his recent performance paints a different picture. Averaging just 6.2 rebounds overall and mirroring that on the road, Thompson has struggled to consistently hit those higher marks away from home. In his last five games against the Suns, he's mustered only about 5.3 boards per game, well below our target line. Although he's hit the mark in two of his last four games, his overall away performance tells a different story, with just four successful outings in his last seven attempts. With the Suns' potent offense potentially limiting Thompson's opportunities on the glass, betting the under feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

Mark Williams (Phoenix Suns) Under 7.5 Rebounds (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Phoenix Suns and Houston Rockets, targeting Mark Williams for under 7.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. Williams has shown flashes of potential, but recent trends suggest he might struggle to hit that mark at home. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 6 rebounds at home, a significant dip from his overall average. The matchup against the Rockets adds another layer of complexity. While he has collected 11 boards against them in the past at home, that was a different context. The pressure of the game intensifies, and with the Suns focusing on their perimeter game, opportunities for Williams could diminish. With an expected stat value of only 6.68 and a hit rate of 2 out of his last 3 home games falling below, betting the under seems like the sharp move here.

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 8.5 Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets head to Phoenix, all eyes will be on Alperen Sengun, but there's reason to believe he might struggle to hit the boards tonight. Despite averaging 9.2 rebounds on the road lately, his numbers against the Suns reflect a different story-just 6.2 boards per game in their last encounters. With his overall average dipping to 7.4 rebounds in the last five games, and only three of his last four outings exceeding the 8.5 mark, it's clear the trend isn't in his favor.Moreover, the Suns are adept at limiting second-chance opportunities, and with Sengun's expected stat value sitting comfortably at 7.71, betting the under feels like a solid play. Given his recent away performance, which has seen him hit the under 11 times in the last 14 away games, betting on Sengun to grab fewer than 8.5 rebounds might just be the smart move.

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