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Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants Prediction & Picks : Full MLB Breakdown & Bets

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants Prediction & Picks : Full MLB Breakdown & Bets

August 05th | 09:58 AM GMT Read time icon3 min read
Predictions

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants. Includes analysis on key players like Logan Webb. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants stats and odds.

Logan Webb (SFG) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Logan Webb for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is backed by his statistical performance. Over his last five games, Webb has an average of 1.4 walks allowed overall and 1.6 when playing away. This trend is consistent even when specifically playing against the Pirates, with an average of 1.5 walks allowed. This suggests a consistent tendency for Webb to allow at least one walk per game. His innings pitched and outs averages further support this, indicating he typically plays long enough in each game for a walk to occur. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his historical performance indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing at least one walk in the upcoming game. Therefore, the Over 0.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.

Oneil Cruz (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Oneil Cruz for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice due to Cruz's recent performance and the statistical averages. Cruz's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall and at home, indicating a lower tendency to steal bases. This trend is even more pronounced when facing the Giants, with an average of just 0.2 stolen bases. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, are relatively low, which suggests he may not be at the plate frequently enough to attempt a steal. The absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances in the last five games also implies a conservative base running strategy. Thus, the statistics suggest that Cruz is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a solid choice.

Nick Gonzales (PIT) Over 0.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Nick Gonzales has been performing well, with an average of 1.2 hits over his last five games. This is well above the line of 0.5, indicating a strong likelihood of him achieving at least one hit in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his plate appearance (PA) average of 4 suggests he has ample opportunities to hit. His performance at home is slightly lower with an average of 0.6 hits, but this is still above the line. Against the Giants, his hit average is 0.8, further supporting the bet. Gonzales also currently has a hit streak, both overall and at home, which means he is in good form. Based on these statistics, betting on Nick Gonzales to achieve over 0.5 hits in the game against the San Francisco Giants is a statistically sound choice.

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