Latest AFL betting preview: Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA disposals/goals. Keywords: same game multi, SGM picks, AFL multi odds.
Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans : Port Adelaide Power Win (-154)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Port Adelaide Power is favored due to their recent performance at home, with an average margin of -10.4 and higher key stats like clearances, contested possessions, and inside 50s compared to Sydney Swans' away stats. Port Adelaide's stronger defense, conceding 91.6 points on average, can contain Swans' attack that scores less away (74.4 points). Additionally, Port Adelaide's ability to generate more shots at goal and their consistent disposals suggest they can capitalize on scoring opportunities. With a clear statistical advantage in key areas and playing at home, Port Adelaide Power is well-positioned to secure a victory over Sydney Swans in the H2H market.
Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans : Port Adelaide Power -6.5 (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Port Adelaide Power's recent home performance, averaging 81.2 points for and 91.6 against, compared to Sydney Swans' away stats of 74.4 points for and 90.8 against, indicate Port Adelaide's stronger offensive capability. With Port Adelaide averaging more shots at goal (26.2) and inside 50s (56) in their last five home games versus Sydney's 23.4 shots and 54.8 inside 50s away, Port Adelaide seems poised to outscore the Swans. Additionally, Port Adelaide's average margin of -10.4 at home is better than Sydney's -16.4 on the road. These stats suggest Port Adelaide has a good chance to cover the -6.5 spread, especially given the model's edge of 7.5%.
Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans : Sydney Swans 6.5 (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Sydney Swans +6.5 is supported by their recent performance indicators. Despite being the away team, the Swans have shown a stronger offensive capability, averaging more points for and shots at goal than Port Adelaide in their respective last 5 games. Port Adelaide struggles to defend effectively at home, conceding an average of 91.6 points against, while Sydney has been more competitive in away games, with a lower average margin of -16.4 compared to Port Adelaide's -10.4 at home. The Swans' ability to generate scoring opportunities, coupled with Port Adelaide's defensive vulnerabilities, makes the +6.5 spread a favorable bet given the model's prediction and the recent performance data favoring Sydney's competitiveness in this matchup.