Expert analysis and top betting picks for Port Adelaide Power vs West Coast Eagles. Includes analysis on key players like Liam Baker. Discover AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Port Adelaide Power vs West Coast Eagles stats and odds.
Liam Baker (West Coast Eagles) Over 19.5 Disposals (-217)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Liam Baker is poised to shine in the upcoming away game against Port Adelaide based on his recent form. With an average of 23.8 disposals in his last five away matches and a strong hit rate, Baker's consistency is evident. Facing an opponent against whom he has historically performed well, averaging 17.7 disposals in their last encounters, Baker's chances of exceeding 19.5 disposals are promising. His ability to maintain a high disposal efficiency of 80.2% adds to his reliability. With a model prediction of 23.1 disposals and a 7.9% edge, the statistical data supports a solid rationale for betting on Baker to surpass 19.5 disposals in this game.
Jack Hutchinson (West Coast Eagles) Over 9.5 Disposals (-303)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jack Hutchinson is poised to shine with his recent form. Despite his overall disposals averaging 12.8, his last 5 away games show a higher average of 14.2 disposals. With a model predicting him to reach 14 disposals against Port Adelaide, a team he's likely to perform well against, Hutchinson's current hit streak of 2 and a strong away game hit rate of 6/7 suggest he's in good touch. His consistent contested possessions (4.8) and metres gained (288.2) further support his ability to surpass the line of 9.5 disposals. Hutchinson's form, matchup, and statistical trends favor a solid performance, making the Over 9.5 disposals bet a compelling choice for this game.
Mitch Georgiades (Port Adelaide) Over 1.5 Goals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Mitch Georgiades has been in stellar form, averaging 3.2 goals in his last five home games, with a high goal accuracy of 45.0%. His recent performance against the West Coast Eagles also indicates a strong potential, with an average of 1 goal per game. With a model predicting him to score 2.5 goals and a 4.4% edge, the Over 1.5 goals bet on Georgiades seems enticing. Additionally, his consistent marks inside 50, high shot accuracy, and significant score involvements further support his ability to snag goals. Georgiades' current hit streak of 2 and recent average of 3.6 goals overall strengthen the case for him to continue his scoring trend at home against the Eagles.
Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) Over 14.5 Disposals (-400)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Kane Farrell is a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against the West Coast Eagles at home. With a model prediction of 19.4, indicating a 3.6% edge, Farrell's recent form supports this. In his last 5 home games, he's averaged 18.4 disposals (L5 Home Games Disposals Avg) with a consistent hit streak of 6 games (Home/Away Current Hit Streak). His performance against the Eagles in recent matchups also suggests he can exceed this mark, averaging 14.3 disposals (L5 vs Opponent Home Disposals Avg) in home games against them. With a strong hit rate of 14/14 overall, Farrell's form and historical data make the Over 14.5 disposals a favorable bet.
Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide) Over 24.5 Disposals (-357)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Connor Rozee has been a standout performer, averaging 30.2 disposals in his last five home games with consistent contested possessions (6.4) and high disposal efficiency (71.9%). Facing the West Coast Eagles at home, where he averages 29 disposals against them, Rozee's recent form and historical data indicate a strong chance of exceeding the line of 24.5 disposals. With a model prediction of 28.7 disposals and a solid hit streak of 5/5 in home games, Rozee's upward trend in possessions, combined with his efficiency and historical success against the Eagles, make him a reliable pick for over 24.5 disposals in this matchup.
Port Adelaide Power vs West Coast Eagles : Under 167.5 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Under 167.5 for the Port Adelaide Power vs. West Coast Eagles game is supported by the recent performance data. Port Adelaide's strong defensive record, conceding an average of 71.4 points in their last five games overall and 77.6 points at home, aligns with limiting scoring opportunities. West Coast Eagles, averaging only 55.2 points in their last five games overall and 62.6 points away, struggle offensively. With both teams displaying below-average scoring trends and favorable defensive statistics, the likelihood of a lower-scoring game is evident. This analysis, alongside the model's projection of 164.2 points, suggests a high probability of the total points staying under 167.5.
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