Winning bets for Richmond Tigers vs Essendon Bombers? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA disposals/goals. Explore same game multi, SGM picks, AFL multi odds.
Jayden Short (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jayden Short is a strong bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Essendon at the MCG. His impressive home form, averaging 22 disposals with a solid 82.1% efficiency, exceeds the model's prediction of 22.6. Short's recent consistency, especially against Essendon with a 24-disposal average, and a current hit streak of 12 at home and 24 overall, indicate a high probability of meeting or exceeding this line. With his stellar metrics in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained, Short's role in Richmond's setup makes him likely to contribute significantly, making the Over 14.5 disposals a compelling bet.
Dion Prestia (Richmond) Over 19.5 Disposals (-333)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Dion Prestia has been a consistent performer, averaging 26 disposals in his last five home games and 31.5 disposals against Essendon in their recent matchups. His strong contested possessions (9.2 avg) and kicks (12.4 avg) suggest he'll meet the 19.5 line comfortably. With a high disposalefficiency (76.1%) and recent form, Prestia is positioned to control the midfield and accumulate possessions at the MCG. His current hit streak and success rate enhance the confidence in this bet. The model's prediction of 24.1 disposals, coupled with a 4.8% edge, supports the likelihood of Prestia surpassing 19.5 disposals against Essendon.
Jack Ross (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-263)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jack Ross is poised to shine in his upcoming home game against Essendon based on his recent form. With a model-predicted average of 18.4 disposals and a solid 5.5% edge, Ross has been consistently outperforming the 14.5 disposal line. His L5 stats, especially averaging 16.8 disposals in home games and 19 disposals against Essendon, indicate his capability to surpass this mark. Ross's current hit streak of 4 home games and 3 overall, along with a high disposalefficiency of 74.0%, further support his ability to maintain possession effectively. Expect Ross to continue his impressive streak and comfortably exceed the 14.5 disposal line, making this bet a promising choice for AFL enthusiasts.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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