Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs gear up to face the Trail Blazers, targeting Keldon Johnson for under 5.5 rebounds makes a lot of sense. While he has had some strong performances, his recent numbers paint a different picture. Averaging just 4.4 rebounds in his last five games overall and slightly better at home with 4.8, it's clear that he's been struggling to hit that 5.5 mark.Against Portland, he's averaged 7.2 rebounds over their last five matchups, which sounds enticing, but the trend at home tells a different story-just 4.8 rebounds. Plus, with a hit rate of 4 out of the last 5 games at home going under that line, there's a compelling narrative building here. With an expected stat value of only 4.24, it's hard to see him surpassing that threshold against a Blazers team that knows how to box out. So, let's lean into the under for

Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers hit the road to face the Spurs, all eyes will be on Matisse Thybulle, but betting on him to hit more than 1.5 threes seems risky. Sure, he's had some hot stretches, averaging 2 threes in his last five games, but the away narrative tells a different story. In fact, Thybulle's struggles on the road shine through with just 0.7 threes against San Antonio in their previous matchups. Add in his recent away performance where he's only hitting 1.8 threes per game, and it's clear he's fighting an uphill battle on the Spurs' home court. With a solid 18 of his last 20 outings under the 1.5 mark while away, this looks like a prime spot to take the under on Thybulle. Expect him to face tight defense, making this bet an enticing opportunity for savvy bettors.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs prepare to face the Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Dylan Harper, but bettors might want to lean toward the under on his rebounds at 4.5. While Harper has shown flashes of potential, his recent performance paints a clearer picture-averaging just 3.2 rebounds over his last five games. At home, he's slightly better with an average of 4.8, yet against Portland, he's only managed 3 boards per game in their last few matchups. With the Spurs' offensive strategy focusing more on perimeter shooting, Harper's opportunities on the glass could dwindle. He's had a solid hit rate lately, going 4-for-4 on the under, but that trend suggests more about his positioning than a sustained rebounding prowess. With an expected stat value of just 3.09 and a strong historical performance against the Blazers, betting the under feels like the smart move here.

Julian Champagnie (San Antonio Spurs) Under 5.5 Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs prepare to host the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Julian Champagnie, but we're taking a closer look at his rebounding numbers. While he's averaged 6.6 boards in his last five games, that figure dips to 6 at home, and against Portland, he's pulled down just 5.6 rebounds in their previous matchups. With the Spurs potentially focused on offensive flow rather than crashing the glass, we anticipate Champagnie's rebounding opportunities may dwindle. His hit rate for the under has been solid as well, with only 9 of his last 16 games seeing him exceed 5.5. The numbers suggest a perfect storm for the under: with an expected stat value of 4.94 and an implied probability of 48.5%, taking the under on Champagnie's rebounds feels like a smart play in this matchup.

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