Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Jackson Merrill for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically sound. Merrill's performance data indicates that he is not a frequent base stealer. His overall average for stolen bases over the last five games is just 0.2, and this drops to zero when playing at home. Additionally, his current hit streak is zero, both overall and at home, suggesting that he's not in form to be on base and in a position to steal. Furthermore, his average caught stealing (Cs) at home is 0.2, implying a risk when he does attempt to steal. Even when considering his performance against the Rangers, his stolen base average is only 0.3. These statistics collectively suggest that the likelihood of Merrill stealing a base in the upcoming game is low.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SDP) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Fernando Tatis Jr. is a statistically sound choice based on his recent performances. In his last five games overall, Tatis Jr. has averaged only 0.2 stolen bases, and this average drops to zero when considering only home games. Furthermore, his average against the Texas Rangers specifically is only slightly higher at 0.3. These numbers indicate that Tatis Jr. is not frequently stealing bases in his current form. Additionally, the zero average for caught stealing (Cs) in the last five overall and home games, as well as against the Rangers, suggests that he is not attempting many steals. Therefore, it is statistically unlikely for Tatis Jr. to steal a base in this game, making the under 0.5 bet a solid choice.
Adolis Garcia (TEX) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-175)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Adolis Garcia's performance data indicates a strong potential for an Over bet in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market. His overall average in the last five games shows a consistent ability to hit (1), run (0.6), and bring in RBIs (1). This performance is maintained even when playing away, with an average of 1.2 hits. Although his runs and RBIs drop slightly in away games, his hit average remains above the 0.5 line set for this bet. Additionally, Garcia is currently on a hit streak, both overall and away, which indicates a continued momentum in his performance. While his averages against the Padres are slightly lower, his consistent hitting ability makes this bet a solid choice. Therefore, the data suggests that Garcia is likely to achieve over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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