Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Taj Bradley (TBR) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Taj Bradley for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is statistically compelling based on his recent performances. Bradley's last five overall and home games show a trend of allowing more than 2.5 hits on average. His L5 overall hits allowed average is 4.8, and his L5 home hits allowed average is 6.2. Moreover, when facing the Orioles, his L5 hits allowed average sits at 5, again exceeding the 2.5 line. Even considering his outs average, which is 17 overall, 17.6 at home, and 14.5 against the Orioles, the likelihood of him allowing over 2.5 hits is high. Additionally, Bradley is currently on a two-game overall hit streak. Therefore, based on these averages and streaks, the Over 2.5 bet for Bradley's Pitcher Hits Allowed is a statistically sound choice.
Ramon Laureano (BAL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Ramon Laureano for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Laureano has an average of zero stolen bases overall, zero while playing away, and zero against the Tampa Bay Rays. This trend suggests a low likelihood of him stealing a base in the upcoming game. His current hit streak, while impressive, does not directly correlate to stolen base success. Furthermore, Laureano has not been caught stealing in his last five games, indicating he may not be taking risks on the bases. Thus, the data suggests that it's statistically unlikely for Laureano to steal a base in the upcoming game against the Rays.
Charlie Morton (BAL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-909)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Charlie Morton for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed (Alternate) market is statistically backed by his recent performance data. In his last five overall games, Morton has averaged 3 walks per game. His walk average increases to 3.2 when looking specifically at his last five away games. Despite the fact that his walks allowed average decreases slightly to 2 against the Tampa Bay Rays, it still supports the Over 0.5 bet. Furthermore, his current hit streak is 18 games overall and 7 games away, indicating a consistent level of performance. While he does average more innings pitched and outs when playing away games and against the Rays, this increase in playtime also provides more opportunities for walks to occur. Thus, the data suggests that Morton is likely to allow at least one walk in the upcoming game.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
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