Latest AFL betting preview: Fremantle Dockers vs St Kilda Saints. Get predictions and top picks. Find the 4 strongest team bets and lines. Keywords: AFL best bets, AFL team props, AFL picks today, AFL game odds.
Fremantle Dockers vs St Kilda Saints : St Kilda Saints Win (+290)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
St Kilda Saints are favored in this AFL matchup against Fremantle Dockers due to their recent performance indicators. Despite playing away, St Kilda has shown better form with lower points against, higher contested possessions, and more shots at goal compared to Fremantle. The Saints also have a stronger turnover game and higher target disposals, which could translate into better scoring opportunities. Fremantle, while solid at home, has struggled to contain opponents defensively and might find it challenging to match St Kilda's offensive output. Based on these stats, St Kilda Saints appear poised to snag a victory in this game.
Fremantle Dockers vs St Kilda Saints : St Kilda Saints 23.5 (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on St Kilda Saints +23.5 is supported by their recent performance trends. Despite a negative average margin of -23.4 in their last five games, they've shown competitiveness by keeping games close. Fremantle Dockers, although strong at home with an average margin of 22.2, might not cover the spread due to St Kilda's ability to limit opponent scoring. St Kilda's defensive efforts, allowing fewer points on average compared to Fremantle's scoring capabilities, make them a favorable pick to stay within the spread. With St Kilda's recent form and the potential for a tighter game, this bet offers value based on their ability to keep the match competitive despite their overall margin deficit.
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows : Over 168.5 Total Points (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Over 168.5 in the Richmond Tigers vs. Adelaide Crows game is well-supported by recent team performance. Richmond Tigers, despite averaging lower points, have shown an ability to generate shots on goal and inside 50s. Adelaide Crows, with a strong scoring record and high shots on goal and inside 50s averages, are likely to contribute significantly to the total points. Considering Adelaide's recent high-scoring form and Richmond's ability to create scoring opportunities, the Over bet aligns with the model's predicted total points of 175.6. This bet leverages Adelaide's prolific scoring and Richmond's offensive efforts, making it a sensible choice for this matchup at the MCG.
Fremantle Dockers vs St Kilda Saints : Over 165.5 Total Points (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Over 165.5 in the Fremantle Dockers vs. St Kilda Saints game is backed by the teams' recent performances. Fremantle has been scoring an average of 91.6 points in their last five home games, while St Kilda has allowed an average of 92 points in their last five away matches. With Fremantle's strong offensive output and St Kilda's tendency to concede points on the road, coupled with both teams' recent inside 50s and shots at goal numbers, the likelihood of a high-scoring game is evident. Additionally, the model's prediction of 170.9 points further supports the expectation of a game where both teams are likely to contribute to surpassing the 165.5-point total.
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