Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees. Find the 6 strongest MLB team bets and run lines. Discover MLB best bets, MLB team props, MLB picks today, baseball game odds.
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees : Toronto Blue Jays Win (+130)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The Toronto Blue Jays have a strong home record, having won 3 out of their last 5 games at home. This indicates a potential home advantage that could influence the game's outcome. Additionally, their runs scored average at home (3) is higher than their overall runs scored average (1.8), suggesting they perform better offensively at home. While the Yankees' away performance is solid, with an average of 3.2 runs scored and allowed, the Blue Jays' home performance is comparable, with a slightly lower average of 3 runs scored but a higher average of 3.8 runs allowed. Given these stats, it's plausible that the Blue Jays could edge out a win, making the bet on the Blue Jays a reasonable choice.
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees : Toronto Blue Jays Win (+128)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the Toronto Blue Jays is primarily driven by their home advantage. Despite their recent overall record of 1-4, they hold a stronger record of 3-2 when playing at home. This suggests that the Blue Jays perform better on their own turf. Moreover, the Blue Jays have a higher average of runs scored at home (3) compared to their overall average (1.8). Although the Yankees have a slightly better overall runs scored average (3.2), their performance does not vary between home and away games. Furthermore, the Blue Jays have allowed fewer runs at home (3.8) compared to their overall average (4.6). This indicates a stronger defensive performance at home. These factors, combined with the model's prediction and edge, support the bet on the Blue Jays for the Moneyline market.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals : Pittsburgh Pirates Win (+106)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates is a solid choice given their recent performance against the St. Louis Cardinals, with a winning record of 3-2. Additionally, the Pirates have shown a strong defensive performance, allowing fewer runs on average (3.8) compared to the Cardinals' average runs allowed (4.4). This defensive strength is even more pronounced in home games, with the Pirates allowing an average of only 3.2 runs. While the Pirates' scoring average is equal to the Cardinals at 4.2 runs, their superior defense could be the decisive factor in this matchup. The model prediction and edge also indicate a favorable outcome for the Pirates. Therefore, the statistical data supports the bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates for the Moneyline market.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals : Pittsburgh Pirates Win (+104)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Pittsburgh Pirates are a good betting choice for this match-up against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Pirates have shown stronger performance at home, with an average of 3.6 runs scored per game in their last five home games, compared to the Cardinals' 4.2 runs allowed on average in their last five away games. Additionally, the Pirates have a winning record against the Cardinals in their last five encounters, with three wins and two losses. These statistics suggest that the Pirates have a slight edge over the Cardinals in this game, especially in terms of their offensive capabilities and home field advantage. Furthermore, the Pirates have allowed fewer runs on average (3.8) compared to the Cardinals (4.4), indicating a more robust defense. This combination of factors makes the Pirates a favorable bet for this game.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres : San Diego Padres Win (+184)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on San Diego Padres is a good choice due to their strong defensive performance. In the last five games, the Padres have allowed an average of only 3.4 runs, both overall and away, compared to the Phillies' 5.8 overall and 6.8 at home. This indicates a stronger defense from the Padres. Despite the Phillies' impressive scoring average at home, their higher runs allowed average indicates a vulnerability that the Padres could exploit. Furthermore, the Padres' model prediction is over 0.5, suggesting that they are more likely to win than lose. Even though the Phillies have a better recent record against the Padres, current form often outweighs historical head-to-head records in predicting game outcomes. The Padres' superior defense is likely to give them the edge in this match-up.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres : San Diego Padres Win (+183)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The San Diego Padres are a solid bet for this matchup despite the Philadelphia Phillies' strong record at home. The Padres have demonstrated a strong defensive performance in their last 5 games, allowing an average of 3.4 runs, both overall and away. This is significantly lower than the Phillies' average runs allowed at home, which stands at 6.8. Although the Phillies have scored more runs on average, the Padres' superior defense could limit their scoring potential. Furthermore, the Padres have a model prediction of 0.51 and a model edge of 15.3%, indicating they have a strong potential for a win. Therefore, considering the Padres' defensive strength and model predictions, they are a reasonable choice for the Moneyline market.
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