Unlock potential winning bets for West Coast Eagles playing Carlton Blues. We analyze the top 6 player props available. Analysis includes AFL player props, best prop bets today, player statistics predictions.
George Hewett (Carlton) Under 28.5 Disposals (-116)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
George Hewett's recent away form, averaging 28.2 disposals over his last five games, faces a tough challenge against West Coast Eagles, against whom he averages 31 disposals when away. However, the model predicts him to gather 25.3 disposals, indicating a potential dip in output. Hewett's lower contested possessions average (14.6) and turnovers (3.6) suggest he may struggle to reach the 28.5 line. With a strong 80.3% disposal efficiency but facing an opponent he historically underperforms against, the under 28.5 disposals bet at Optus Stadium in Perth represents a value play despite Hewett's recent hit rates.
Blake Acres (Carlton) Under 19.5 Disposals (-128)
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Blake Acres is likely to fall short of 19.5 disposals against the West Coast Eagles. Despite a recent hit rate of 4/5, his L5 average of 16.4 disposals and a matchup history of 25 disposals against the Eagles suggest he may struggle. His away stats show inconsistencies with turnovers at 4.6 and contested possessions at 6.4, indicating vulnerability. With a model prediction of 16.2 and a solid edge of 18.5%, the data aligns with a lower output. Also, playing away in Perth adds a layer of difficulty, making the under 19.5 disposals for Blake Acres a favorable bet.
Tom De Koning (Carlton) Under 21.5 Disposals (-128)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Tom De Koning is likely to fall under 21.5 disposals against the West Coast Eagles based on his recent away game performances, averaging 19.2 disposals. Although facing an opponent where he averages 16 disposals, his overall disposals average of 19.6 supports this bet. With a solid contested possessions average of 12.4 but a turnover rate of 4.2, he may not reach the line due to potential ball-handling issues. De Koning's hit rate streak is strong in away games (4 out of 4) but weaker overall (7 out of 8), indicating a higher chance of him not surpassing the line. The model's prediction of 18.4 disposals further supports the under bet.
Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) Over 1.5 Goals (-115)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Kysaiah Pickett is a solid bet to go over 1.5 goals based on his recent form. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games and an overall hit rate of 4/5 goals, he's been consistent in finding the big sticks. Pickett's involvement in scoring plays is notable with a 5.6 score involvements average in away games. Additionally, facing Port Adelaide, where he averages 0.7 goals in their away matchups, sets up a favorable scenario. His recent performance metrics, including 3.2 shots at goal and 1.4 marks inside 50 per game away, further support his goal-scoring potential. The model's prediction, along with Pickett's streaks, suggests a strong likelihood of him surpassing the 1.5 goal line.
Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) Under 26.5 Disposals (-125)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Zak Butters is a solid bet to go under 26.5 disposals against Melbourne. Despite averaging 28.6 disposals in his last 5 home games, he faces a tough opponent with an average of 28 disposals. His recent contested possessions average of 14 is slightly below the required pace. The model's prediction of 24.2 supports this bet, indicating a 12.2% edge with a 55.6% implied probability. Additionally, Butters' turnovers average of 4.2 could hinder his possession accumulation. With a current hit streak of 0, his recent performance suggests a slight dip in output. Considering these factors, the under on Butters' disposals seems a prudent choice for this matchup.
Ryan Maric (West Coast Eagles) Over 18.5 Disposals (-112)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Ryan Maric, with a solid L5 average of 22.2 disposals in home games, faces Carlton, against whom he averages 16.5 disposals. Maric's overall hit rate of 10/12 and recent 4/5 home games hitting the mark make him a reliable choice. The model's prediction of 20.4, with a standard deviation of 5, indicates a strong edge of 11.8%. His consistency in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained further supports his potential to surpass the 18.5 disposals line. Playing at home in Optus Stadium in Perth adds to Maric's advantage, making the Over 18.5 disposals bet appealing for this matchup.