Winning bets for Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows? We break down odds and insights. We analyze the top 6 player props available. Explore AFL player props, best prop bets today, player statistics predictions.
Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 21.5 Disposals (-105)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Karl Amon is poised to perform well in the 'Player Disposals' market with an average of 22 disposals in his last five home games, aligning with his predicted 24.2 disposals for this upcoming match. Amon's consistency in contested possessions (4.2 avg), handballs (5.6 avg), and kicks (16.4 avg) strengthens the bet's rationale. Furthermore, his recent trend of hitting 3 out of 4 games on average for disposals increases the confidence in this bet. Combined with a low standard deviation of 5, indicating stability in his performance, Amon is likely to exceed 21.5 disposals against the Adelaide Crows at University of Tasmania Stadium.
Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-196)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Karl Amon is a strong bet to surpass 19.5 disposals against the Adelaide Crows at University of Tasmania Stadium. With a model predicting him to reach 24.2 disposals, indicating a 16.2% edge, Amon's consistent performance is notable. In his last five home games, he has averaged 22 disposals, with solid metrics across contested possessions, kicks, handballs, and intercepts. Additionally, his past hits rates show a high level of consistency, making him a reliable choice for this over bet. Amon's track record against the Crows also supports this wager, as he has averaged 23.2 disposals in their recent matchups.
Adam Treloar (Western Bulldogs) Over 24.5 Disposals (-135)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Adam Treloar is poised to perform well based on his recent away game stats, averaging 31.8 disposals with a 15.6% edge over the line of 24.5. Against St Kilda, he has maintained a solid average of 31 disposals in away games. Treloar's current hit streak of 4 in away games and 4.6 turnovers in his last five games suggest he's consistently involved and likely to surpass the 24.5 threshold. With a strong overall hit rate of 17/20 in recent games, Treloar's form and consistency make him a favorable choice for the over bet in disposals against St Kilda.
Ben Keays (Adelaide Crows) Under 17.5 Disposals (-130)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Ben Keays is likely to go under 17.5 disposals against Hawthorn based on his recent performance metrics. Despite facing Hawthorn, where he averages 21.2 disposals in his last five matchups, Keays' overall disposals average is 15.4. His current away contested possessions and uncontested possessions are below the required level for this bet. The model's prediction of 14.6 disposals with a standard deviation of 5 indicates a strong edge of 15.6% for this under bet. Keays' recent turnovers and disposals do not support hitting the over. Considering his away game trends and the model's insights, betting under 17.5 disposals for Ben Keays is statistically sound for this matchup.
Nate Caddy (Essendon) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-294)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Nate Caddy is a strong choice to score anytime based on his recent performances. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games, Caddy consistently contributes to Essendon's scoring opportunities. His goal accuracy of 37.7% and involvement in 5 scoring plays per game indicate his active role in the team's offensive strategies. Additionally, averaging 3.6 shots at goal and 2.6 inside 50s per game, Caddy maintains a high level of involvement near the opposition's goal, increasing his chances of scoring. The model's prediction of 1.5 goals aligns with his recent form, making the bet on Nate Caddy to score anytime a favorable choice with a 15.1% edge.
Mitch Owens (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-303)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Mitch Owens is a strong bet to score anytime in the upcoming St Kilda Saints vs. Western Bulldogs game based on his recent form. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent against whom he averages 1 goal, Owens consistently produces in front of the posts. His high shot accuracy, involvement in scores, and number of shots on goal indicate he is a key attacking threat. The model's prediction of 1.5 goals with a solid edge of 14.3% further supports Owens' likelihood to find the back of the net, making this bet a favorable choice for AFL bettors.