Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Saturday 07/19 (Luis Severino Highlights): Best Value Bets

Cal Quantrill's recent performance data indicates a strong trend in favor of the Over 3.5 Hits Allowed bet. Over his last five games, Quantrill has averaged 6.8 hits allowed overall and 6.6 hits at home, both well above the 3.5 line. His innings pitched averages also suggest he'll be in the game long enough to concede more than 3.5 hits, with an average of 4 innings overall and 3.9 at home. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, demonstrate a consistent pattern of conceding hits. Despite a lower average against the Royals (4.8), it's still above the line, and his hit streak indicates this trend is likely to continue. Therefore, the statistical evidence strongly suggests that betting Over 3.5 on Quantrill's hits allowed is a solid choice.

Dean Kremer (BAL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-476)

The bet on Dean Kremer for over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a good choice based on his recent performance. Kremer's last five overall games have seen him average 3.4 strikeouts, which is above the line of 2.5. This trend is even more pronounced in his last five games against the Rays, where he averages 4.6 strikeouts. While his strikeout average drops slightly to 3.6 in away games, it still remains above the line. Furthermore, Kremer's current hit streaks in overall and away games stand at 1 and 2 respectively, indicating a positive momentum. Therefore, based on Kremer's recent strikeout averages and current form, there is a strong statistical likelihood that he will achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Rays.

Logan Allen (CLE) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-476)

The bet on Logan Allen for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is statistically justified by his recent performance data. In his last five games, Allen has allowed an average of 5.2 hits overall and 4.8 hits when playing at home. Even against the Athletics, his average hits allowed stands at 4.3, all of which are above the line set for this bet. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he usually stays long enough in the game to potentially allow more than 3.5 hits. Moreover, he's currently on a hit streak both overall and at home, indicating a pattern of allowing hits in consecutive games. Therefore, based on Allen's recent performances, the bet on Over 3.5 hits allowed is a statistically sound choice.

Michael Wacha (KCR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-526)

The bet on Michael Wacha for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a favorable choice based on his recent performance data. Wacha has consistently surpassed this line in his last five games, averaging 4 strikeouts overall and 5.2 when playing away. His average innings pitched also supports this, with 4.9 overall and 5.3 in away games, providing ample opportunities for strikeouts. Furthermore, his record against the Marlins indicates a high strikeout rate, averaging 7 in their recent encounters. The current hit streaks of 4 overall and 2 away also demonstrate a pattern of consistent performance. Therefore, the statistical evidence suggests a high probability of Wacha achieving more than 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

Jacob Young (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-455)

The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Jacob Young is a smart choice based on his recent performance data. Young's last five games have shown a consistent lack of stolen bases, both overall and specifically at home, with averages of 0.2 and 0, respectively. His performance against the Padres specifically also shows zero stolen bases. Additionally, his caught stealing (Cs) averages are low, indicating he's not attempting many steals. His overall current hit streak is only at 2, and at home it's 1, which further reduces the chances of him being in a position to steal a base. These statistics suggest that Young is not likely to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under bet a solid choice.