Deep dive into Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. We analyze the top 6 MLB player props available. Check out MLB player props, best baseball prop bets today, player statistics predictions MLB.
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) Under 2.5 Singles (-400)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Brandon Nimmo for Under 2.5 in the Batter Singles market is a strong choice, primarily due to his recent performance data. Nimmo's average for the last five games overall and away for singles are 0.8 and 0.4 respectively, both well below the line of 2.5. His overall and away batting average for hits are also below the line at 0.8 and 1.2 respectively. Even when considering his performance against the Pirates, his average for singles and hits are 1.2 and 1.6, still below the line. Despite his impressive hit streaks, these averages suggest a lower probability of him hitting over 2.5 singles in the upcoming game. This statistical analysis supports the model's implied probability of 80% for the Under outcome.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-286)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Under 0.5 bet for Pete Crow-Armstrong's stolen bases is a statistically sound choice. Crow-Armstrong's recent performance data indicates a low propensity for stealing bases, particularly in away games and against the Astros. His last five overall and away games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases, and he has not stolen any bases in his last five games against the Astros. Additionally, his current hit streak is relatively low, with just one hit overall and two in away games, reducing the opportunities for stolen bases. His average caught stealing (Cs) rate is also 0.2 in away games, suggesting a risk when he does attempt to steal. Based on these figures, it's statistically unlikely that Crow-Armstrong will steal a base in the upcoming game against the Astros, making the Under 0.5 bet a good choice.
Jesus Luzardo (PHI) Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-189)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jesus Luzardo for under 2.5 walks allowed is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Luzardo's last five games show a consistent ability to limit walks, with an average of just 1.4 walks allowed overall and 1.8 when playing away. Even when facing the Braves, his walks allowed average is still under the line at 1.6. His innings pitched and outs averages also indicate he is typically in the game long enough to have control over his walk count. Despite being on the road, Luzardo's current hit streak of 2 suggests he is in good form. All these statistics together indicate a strong likelihood that Luzardo will allow fewer than 2.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Braves.
Luis Torrens (NYM) Under 1.5 Singles (-286)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Luis Torrens for Under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is a strong choice, backed by his recent performance data. Torrens' average for the last five games overall is just 0.2 singles, and even when playing away, his average only increases slightly to 0.4. His batting average against the Pirates is also low, at just 0.8 hits per game. Despite his current hit streak, these low averages suggest that he is less likely to hit more than 1.5 singles in the upcoming game. Furthermore, the Pirates' recent performance data shows that they allow an average of only 0.5 singles per game, reinforcing the likelihood of Torrens hitting under 1.5 singles. Therefore, the bet is a solid choice based on these statistical trends.
Colin Rea (CHC) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-233)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Colin Rea for Under 1.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is driven by his consistent performance in limiting walks. His recent statistics show that he has an average of just 0.2 overall walks allowed in the last five games, and 0.4 walks allowed in his last five away games. This indicates a strong command over his pitches, reducing the likelihood of giving free passes. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) averages are also relatively low, meaning he spends less time on the mound, further reducing the chances of conceding walks. Despite a higher average of walks against the Astros and in away games, his current form suggests he can maintain control. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, also demonstrate his ability to limit hits, which often correlate with a lower number of walks. Hence, the under 1.5 walks bet for Rea is statistically sound.
Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-417)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Nico Hoerner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice due to his recent performance data. Hoerner's statistics show a lack of stolen bases in his last five games overall, his last five away games, and his last five games against the Astros, with averages of 0, 0, and 0.3 respectively. Additionally, his average caught stealing (Cs) rates are also low, indicating a lack of attempts at stealing bases. Despite his impressive overall and away hit streaks, these do not necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on Hoerner's recent performance and current form, it is statistically unlikely that he will steal a base in the upcoming game against the Astros. This makes the Under 0.5 bet a solid choice.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
★★★★★ "I've stopped making speculative parlays. The data-driven approach here is a game-changer." - Ben C., Sydney, AU
★★★★★ "The time saved is immense, and the results are undeniable. A must-have for any serious bettor." - Michael T. Toronto, CA
★★★★★ "The daily write-ups alone are worth the price. The insights are sharp and actionable." - Chris D., Chicago, IL