Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Thursday 07/10 (Jose Ramirez Highlights): Best Value Bets

JP Sears has consistently demonstrated a strong performance in terms of strikeouts, averaging 4.4 strikeouts overall and 3.8 strikeouts in away games. This trend suggests that he is likely to achieve more than the line of 2.5 strikeouts set for this game. Furthermore, he has shown resilience in away games, with an average of 6.1 innings pitched, higher than his overall average of 5.7. This extended time on the mound increases the chances of Sears achieving more strikeouts. Although his average against the Oakland Athletics is lower, his overall performance suggests he is capable of exceeding the set line. Therefore, betting on Sears for over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a sound choice based on his past performances and current form.

Matt McLain (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-278)

The under 0.5 bet for Matt McLain's stolen bases is supported by his recent performance data. McLain's last five games have shown a low average of stolen bases, with an overall average of 0.2 and a home average of 0.4. This suggests he is less likely to steal a base in the upcoming game. Furthermore, when facing the Miami Marlins, his stolen base average drops even lower to 0.2, indicating a struggle against this particular team's defense. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is only 1, which does not indicate a high likelihood of getting on base to have the opportunity to steal. Lastly, there have been no caught stealing incidents in the last five games overall, at home, or against the Marlins, indicating he is not taking risks on the base paths. Therefore, the under 0.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.

Logan Allen (CLE) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-385)

The bet on Logan Allen for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is supported by his recent performance data. In his last five games, Allen has allowed an average of 5.2 hits overall and 5.8 hits when playing away. This trend aligns with his performance against the Chicago White Sox specifically, where he's allowed 5.8 hits on average in their previous encounters. Even when considering his innings pitched and outs averages, which are slightly better when playing away, Allen still consistently allows more than 3.5 hits per game. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, indicate a pattern of allowing hits. Thus, the data suggests a high probability of Allen allowing more than 3.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Chicago White Sox.

Lars Nootbaar (STL) Over 0.5 Hits (-179)

Betting on Lars Nootbaar to have over 0.5 hits is a solid choice, as his recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of this outcome. His last five home games show an average of 1 hit per game, which suggests a higher probability of achieving at least one hit in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his recent plate appearances (PA) at home also support this, averaging 4.2 PAs per game, providing ample opportunities for hits. His overall and against opponent averages also lean towards a hit, with 0.6 hits per game. Lastly, Nootbaar is currently on a hit streak, both overall and at home, which suggests he is in good form. Therefore, based on these statistics, Nootbaar is likely to achieve over 0.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Lars Nootbaar (STL) Over 0.5 Hits (-189)

The Over 0.5 bet on Lars Nootbaar is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Nootbaar's average hits at home is 1, which is double the line set for this bet. His overall hits average is also higher than the line at 0.6. Additionally, his plate appearances (PA) averages both at home and overall are above 4, suggesting he gets sufficient opportunities to hit. His current hit streak at home is also at 1, indicating he has been hitting consistently in recent games. Furthermore, his performance against the Nationals is strong, with an average of 0.6 hits in the last five games. These statistics suggest a high probability that Nootbaar will achieve over 0.5 hits in the upcoming game.