Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Hawks roll into Madison Square Garden, the spotlight is on Jalen Johnson, but this could be a game where he falls short of the lofty 17.5 combined rebounds and assists mark. Though his recent form looks solid, averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists in his last five, the numbers tell a different story when he's on the road. Away from home, he's only managed 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists in his last five outings. The Knicks are tough at home, and Johnson's performance against them historically dips, logging just 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists in their past matchups. With a hit rate of just 75% on the road recently and facing a staunch Knicks defense, it's reasonable to expect him to come up short of that 17.5 threshold. Betting on the under feels like a wise choice here.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, Moussa Diabate's numbers suggest we should consider betting the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 12.5. While Diabate has shown some promise with an average of 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists over his last five games, his away performances tell a different story. He's averaging just 8 rebounds and 3.2 assists in away games lately, which indicates a dip in productivity when he's not on home turf.Against the Magic, he's averaged only 7 rebounds and a mere 1.2 assists in their last five encounters. Given this matchup and the fact he's hit the under in three of his last four games, it's clear that Diabate might struggle to reach that mark. With an expected stat value of just 8.98, betting the under feels like a smart move in this context.

Ayo Dosunmu (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, keep a keen eye on Ayo Dosunmu to go Over 14.5 points and rebounds. This guy's been on an absolute tear, lighting up the scoreboard with an average of 19 points in his last five away games. When playing against the Nuggets, his numbers trend even higher; he's been hitting around 12 points and 3.5 rebounds per game in their last encounters. What's even more impressive is his flawless performance lately-Dosunmu has hit this mark in all 13 of his last games, including a perfect 9-for-9 on the road. With the Nuggets' defense often focused on bigger threats, this opens the door for Dosunmu to capitalize. His expected stat value of 20.58 suggests he's primed for another standout performance. Buckle up; this could be a big night for Ayo!

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers take on the Rockets at home, all eyes will be on LeBron James, but don't be surprised if his combined points and assists fall under 34.5. Over his last five games, he's averaging 23 points and 9.2 assists, figures that suggest he's more focused on facilitating than scoring. At home, his numbers dip even further, with averages of 19 points and 8.8 assists. Against the Rockets, he's posted around 20 points and 5.8 assists lately, which further illustrates how he thrives in a playmaking role rather than dominating the score sheet. Plus, LeBron's been on a remarkable run, hitting this under in 17 of his last 20 outings, with an impressive 11 of 12 at home. Given these trends, targeting the under looks like a smart play in what could be a more balanced game for Los Angeles.

Ayo Dosunmu (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 11.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves gear up to face the Nuggets, all eyes should be on Ayo Dosunmu, who has been on a scoring tear. With an average of 19 points away in his last five games, he's clearly found his rhythm on the road. Not only does he typically notch about 12 points against Minnesota, but he's also been remarkably consistent, hitting the over in all 13 of his last games. The matchup against Denver presents a ripe opportunity for him, especially considering their defensive tendencies. His expected stat value sits at an impressive 15.49, suggesting he could easily surpass the 11.5 mark. With Dosunmu's recent performance and an away hit rate of 100% in his last nine, it's hard not to see him stepping up in this crucial matchup. Betting on him to score over 11.5 points feels like a smart play as he continues to emerge as a key offensive contributor.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 5.5 Assists (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Rockets, all eyes are on Luke Kennard, but this matchup might not play to his strengths. While his overall assists have averaged a robust 6.4 in his last five outings, a closer look reveals a stark contrast at home, where he's only dishing out about 3.2 assists. The Rockets, notorious for their defensive schemes, have held him to just 1.6 assists per game in their last five meetings, with a mere 2 at home. With a hit rate of 19 out of the last 20 home games for going under 5.5 assists, this trend suggests that Kennard may struggle to eclipse that mark against Houston. Given the expected stat value of just 3.81 and the implied probability of hitting the under at nearly 60%, betting on Kennard to fall short here seems like a savvy move.

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