Western Bulldogs vs Richmond Tigers Prediction & Picks : Stat-Based Insights

Jack Ross (Richmond) Over 16.5 Disposals (-125)

Jack Ross is poised to exceed 16.5 disposals against the Western Bulldogs based on his recent form and matchup history. With an average of 18.6 disposals in his last 5 away games and a 4/5 hit rate, Ross has been consistently involved. Facing the Bulldogs, where he averages 15 disposals in his last 5 matchups, he has a good chance to surpass the 16.5 mark. His strong contested possessions (6.2 avg) and disposalefficiency (73.1% avg) further support his ability to contribute significantly. The model's prediction of 18.2 disposals, with a model edge of 8.0%, aligns with Ross's recent performance, indicating a favorable opportunity for him to continue his productive streak on the road.

Tim Taranto (Richmond) Under 25.5 Disposals (-125)

Tim Taranto's recent away performances and historical data indicate a likely dip in disposals against a strong Western Bulldogs side. With an average of 22.8 disposals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where his disposals average drops to 25, the model's prediction of 23.9 supports the under 25.5 bet. Taranto's L5 contested possessions, disposals efficiency, and turnovers suggest potential struggles. Despite his overall hit rates, the model's 7.3% edge leans towards a more conservative output this game. Combining his trends and recent stats, the under on Taranto's disposals seems a solid choice for this matchup.

Laitham Vandermeer (Western Bulldogs) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-189)

Laitham Vandermeer is a strong pick to snag a goal in the Western Bulldogs vs. Richmond Tigers matchup. With a consistent average of 1.4 goals over his last five games and facing an opponent against whom he's scored 0.3 goals on average, his recent form and history against the Tigers bode well. Vandermeer's impressive 60.0% goal accuracy and 5.8 score involvements per game at home indicate he's actively involved in the Bulldogs' attacking plays. Given his recent form, the model's prediction of 1 goal, and a solid 7.2% edge, the likelihood of him hitting the back of the net is high, making this bet on Vandermeer to score anytime a smart choice.

Dion Prestia (Richmond) Over 19.5 Disposals (-400)

Dion Prestia is a strong bet to surpass 19.5 disposals against the Western Bulldogs. With a model prediction of 25.1, Prestia's recent form supports this. In his last 5 away games, he has averaged 25 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. Additionally, he maintains a high disposalefficiency of 69.3% on the road. Prestia's consistency is evident in his hit rates, currently on a 5-game streak exceeding this line in away games and a perfect 9/9 overall. Facing the Bulldogs, where he averages 21 disposals in the last 5 matchups, Prestia is poised to continue his impressive performance. Bet confidently on Prestia to go over 19.5 disposals.

Jack Ross (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-263)

Jack Ross is poised to shine in this matchup against the Western Bulldogs based on his recent form. With a solid average of 18.6 disposals in his last five away games and a consistent contested possessions average of 6.2, Ross is likely to surpass the line of 14.5 disposals. His high disposalefficiency at 73.1% and ability to gain significant metres (366.4 average) further support this bet. Ross has been reliable, hitting 17 out of 20 away games and boasting a 4/5 hit rate overall. With his recent trends and matchup history, backing Ross to go over 14.5 disposals is a sound wager with a favorable model edge of 4.7%.

Adam Treloar (Western Bulldogs) Over 24.5 Disposals (-182)

Adam Treloar's recent form, especially at home, indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding 24.5 disposals against Richmond. With a model-predicted average of 26.7 disposals and consistent performances, including an average of 26.4 disposals in his last five home games, Treloar is poised to maintain his productivity. His proficiency in contested possessions (8.8 avg) and disposal efficiency (73.2% avg) further support this bet. Facing Richmond, where he has historically performed well with an average of 32 disposals in their last five encounters, Treloar's track record suggests he will surpass the 24.5 mark. Despite a recent hit rate streak of 1, his overall hit rate of 17/20 boosts confidence in this selection.