Adelaide Crows vs Hawthorn Hawks Prediction & Picks : Full Match Breakdown & Bets

Darcy Fogarty is poised to shine in the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs. Hawthorn Hawks game at Adelaide Oval. With a solid model prediction of 12.3 disposals and a 6.1% edge, Fogarty's recent form is on fire. His L5 average of 11.6 disposals, coupled with a streak of 4 successful outings at home, positions him well to surpass the 9.5 line set by sportsbet. Fogarty's knack for contested possessions, efficient ball use (70.8%), and ability to cover ground (199.4m gained) enhance his chances of hitting this mark. Expect his consistent performance, especially against Hawthorn's defense, to secure this bet comfortably.

Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-227)

Jarman Impey is a strong bet to surpass 19.5 disposals against Adelaide. His model-projected 22.9 disposals, backed by a 5.7% edge, aligns with his recent form. Impey's consistent L5 averages of 22.6 disposals and 15.6 kicks, coupled with a high disposal efficiency of 73.6%, indicate his ability to meet or exceed the line. Facing Adelaide, where he averages 21 disposals, reinforces his potential. Impey's impressive hit streaks (6/6 away, 9/9 overall) further support his reliability. Expect Impey to maintain his form and secure over 19.5 disposals, making this bet a favorable choice.

Mabior Chol (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-526)

Mabior Chol is a solid pick to score anytime in the Adelaide vs. Hawthorn matchup based on his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent he typically scores against, averaging 1.5 goals in their encounters, Chol is poised to find the big sticks. His goal accuracy of 63.3% and strong involvement in scoring opportunities, with 3.6 score involvements per game, further support this bet. Additionally, his consistency in generating shots at goal, averaging 2.6 per game, and ability to mark inside 50, averaging 1.4 marks, enhance the likelihood of him snagging a goal, making the Over 0.5 goals a favorable choice.

Josh Battle (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-227)

Josh Battle has been consistently exceeding 14.5 disposals, with a solid model prediction of 17.8 and a 5.4% edge. His recent performance, averaging 19 disposals in away games and 18.8 against the upcoming opponent, showcases his ability to meet this line. With a current hit streak of 7 away games and 5 overall, Battle's form is strong. His balanced mix of kicks (10.8) and handballs (8.2) along with efficient disposal (83.4%) bodes well for surpassing the line. Additionally, his ability to gain meters (293.8 average) and maintain possession uncontested (10.2) further supports this bet. Considering his consistent performance and favorable matchup, backing Battle to go over 14.5 disposals is a sensible choice for this game.

Adelaide Crows vs Hawthorn Hawks : Adelaide Crows Win (-119)

The bet on Adelaide Crows to win against Hawthorn Hawks is supported by their strong recent home performances. The Crows have averaged a margin of 29.6 points and 88.8 points for over their last five home games, showcasing a potent offense and solid defense. In contrast, Hawthorn has struggled on the road, with a narrow average margin of 1.2 points and conceding 82.8 points in their last five away matches. Adelaide's dominance in clearances (40.2 on average) and inside 50s (50.6 on average) at home gives them an edge against Hawthorn. The Crows' ability to control the game's tempo and create scoring opportunities should see them secure the win at Adelaide Oval.