Today's Top AFL Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Wednesday 09/10 (John Noble Highlights): Best Value Bets

Karl Amon is a solid bet to surpass 22.5 disposals against the Adelaide Crows. His recent performance, averaging 26.2 disposals in his last five away games, exceeds both his L5 against this opponent (22 disposals) and his overall L5 average. Amon's consistent form is reinforced by his high disposalefficiency (73.2%) and low turnovers (4.8). His ability to find space is evident in his metres gained (705.8) and uncontested possessions (17.6). With a model predicting him to hit 25.5 disposals and a strong hit streak of 5/5, Amon's trend suggests he will continue to dominate in this matchup, making the over 22.5 disposals a favorable bet.

Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) Over 15.5 Disposals (-111)

Wayne Milera is poised to shine in the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs. Hawthorn Hawks game based on his consistent performance. His strong recent form, averaging 18.2 disposals in his last five home games, surpasses the 15.5 line. Additionally, facing Hawthorn, he has historically achieved an average of 19 disposals. With a model predicting him to reach 18.4 disposals and a solid 81.1% disposal efficiency, the 19.2% edge and recent hit rates make him a reliable choice to surpass the 15.5 disposals mark. Milera's ability to generate 403 meters gained on average further supports his potential to excel in this matchup at Adelaide Oval.

Dylan Moore (Hawthorn) Over 18.5 Disposals (-115)

Dylan Moore's recent form, averaging 17 disposals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where he averages 21 disposals, supports the bet on him to exceed 18.5 disposals against Adelaide. His consistent contested possessions, disposal efficiency, and metres gained indicate his involvement in the game. With an overall disposals average of 21.6 and a hit rate of 75% in his last four games, Moore is poised to continue his streak. The model's prediction of 21.5 disposals, accompanied by a high edge of 18.8%, further strengthens the rationale for this bet. Betting on Moore to surpass 18.5 disposals seems a solid choice based on his recent performances and statistical trends.

Ben King (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 1.5 Goals (-217)

Ben King is in stellar form with a 2.8 goal average in his last five away games, including a 2.3 average against Brisbane. His impressive 69.1% goal accuracy and 4.2 shots per game indicate a strong attacking presence. With a solid 2.2 marks inside 50 and 4.8 score involvements per game, King is consistently involved in setting up scoring opportunities. His recent hit rate of 6 goals in the last 7 games and 0 hit streak suggest he's due for a scoring spree. Considering the model's prediction of 2.3 goals with a 17.6% edge, betting on King to score over 1.5 goals against Brisbane seems a promising choice given his recent performances and statistical trends.

Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-156)

Wayne Milera's upcoming game favors him exceeding 14.5 disposals based on his recent form at home. With a model prediction of 18.4 disposals and a comfortable 17.2% edge, Milera's consistent performance, averaging 18.2 disposals in his last five home games, indicates he often meets or surpasses this mark. Facing Hawthorn, against whom he averages 19 disposals in his last five matchups, bodes well for him to maintain his solid home form. His proficient disposal efficiency (81.1%) and involvement in the game, evident from his metrics like kicks (13.6) and uncontested possessions (11.6), further support this bet. With a strong trend of hitting 8 out of his last 10 home games, Milera is poised to shine in this matchup.