Best AFL Multi Picks Today, Wednesday 09/10 (7-Leg) : High Probability Plays

Ben Long is a strong anytime goal scorer bet based on his recent performance metrics, especially his impressive 1.6 goals average in his last five away games. With an average of 3 shots on goal and 1.4 marks inside 50 per game, he consistently positions himself well for scoring opportunities. Additionally, his 35.0% goal accuracy away suggests he can convert chances efficiently. Facing the Brisbane Lions, against whom he averages 0.5 goals away, Long's recent form, including an overall 2.2 goals average, makes him a reliable choice to snag at least one goal in this matchup. This bet capitalizes on his consistent goal-scoring threat and the statistical advantage he holds in this game.

John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 19.5 Disposals (-400)

John Noble's consistent form, averaging 24 disposals over his last five away games, faces a favorable matchup against the Brisbane Lions, a team he's historically performed well against. With a model predicting 26.7 disposals and a solid edge of 12.4%, Noble's recent stats, including high kicks and meters gained averages, indicate his capability to surpass the 19.5 disposal line. His impressive hit rates both away (6/6) and overall (3/3) further support this bet. Trust Noble's ability to maintain possession, find his teammates, and impact the game positively, making the Over 19.5 disposals a compelling choice for this AFL matchup.

Brayden Fiorini (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)

Brayden Fiorini is poised to surpass 14.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an average of 22.2 disposals in his last five away games and a strong history against Brisbane, averaging 22 disposals, Fiorini's consistency is evident. His high disposal efficiency (78.5%) and ability to gain meters (300.8 average) further support this bet. Despite a slightly lower contested possessions average, his knack for intercepts (4.2) showcases his impact on the game. Fiorini's impressive hit rates, especially his 18/19 in away games, suggest he is likely to meet or exceed this target. This, combined with his model prediction of 21.5, indicates a favorable opportunity for this bet.

Dylan Moore (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Dylan Moore is poised to surpass 14.5 disposals against Adelaide based on his strong recent form. With an average of 17 disposals in his last five away games and a hit streak of 9/9 in away matches, Moore consistently meets or exceeds this mark. His matchup history against Adelaide, averaging 18 disposals in the last five encounters, further supports this bet. Moore's overall stats, averaging 21.6 disposals in his last five games, and a stellar 16/16 hit rate overall indicate his reliability in meeting this line. Combining his recent performance, historical data against Adelaide, and current streaks, Moore's Over 14.5 disposals bet presents a solid opportunity for AFL betting enthusiasts.

Mabior Chol (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-526)

Mabior Chol is a solid pick to score anytime in the Adelaide vs. Hawthorn matchup based on his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent he typically scores against, averaging 1.5 goals in their encounters, Chol is poised to find the big sticks. His goal accuracy of 63.3% and strong involvement in scoring opportunities, with 3.6 score involvements per game, further support this bet. Additionally, his consistency in generating shots at goal, averaging 2.6 per game, and ability to mark inside 50, averaging 1.4 marks, enhance the likelihood of him snagging a goal, making the Over 0.5 goals a favorable choice.

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-323)

Karl Amon presents a strong bet for Over 19.5 disposals against Adelaide. His model-projected 25.5 disposals, with a 12.3% edge, is well above his L5 average of 26.2. Amon's recent consistency, hitting 5/5 in both overall and away games, supports this pick. His dominance in contested possessions (5.2), kicks (19), and metres gained (705.8) further underpin the likelihood of surpassing the line. Facing Adelaide, where he averages 22 disposals, enhances his prospects. Amon's proficiency in turnovers (4.8) and disposals efficiency (73.2%) adds reliability to his playmaking ability. Betting on Amon to exceed 19.5 disposals is a solid choice given his recent form and matchup advantages.