Best AFL Multi Picks Today, Friday 07/04 (3-Leg) Rory Laird Prop Focus: High Probability Plays

Rory Laird is poised to stay under 24.5 disposals against Melbourne. Despite averaging 25.4 disposals over his last five games, his recent form at home suggests a slight dip, aligning with the model's prediction of 21.5. Laird's contested possessions (7) and intercepts (6.8) are solid but may not translate into high disposal numbers. Facing Melbourne, where his average disposals stand at 28, Laird could face a tougher challenge. With a recent hit rate of 3 out of 5 home games and an overall hit rate of 6 out of 11, Laird's trend indicates a potential underperformance in this match, making this under bet an appealing choice.

Orazio Fantasia (Carlton) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-111)

Orazio Fantasia presents a strong opportunity to snag a goal in the upcoming game against Collingwood based on his recent performance. With an average of 0.8 goals in his last 5 home games and an impressive 60.0% goal accuracy, Fantasia has shown consistency in finding the big sticks. His involvement in the Blues' scoring plays, averaging 3.8 score involvements per game, coupled with an average of 1.6 shots on goal, indicates his active presence in the forward line. Additionally, facing Collingwood, against whom he has averaged 0.5 goals in his last 5 encounters, further boosts his goal-scoring potential. These stats align with the model's prediction of 0.9 goals for Fantasia, making the 'Over 0.5 Goals Anytime' bet a compelling choice.

Jeremy Cameron (Geelong Cats) Under 15.5 Disposals (-115)

Jeremy Cameron is likely to fall under 15.5 disposals against Richmond due to his recent stats. With a model predicting 12.5 disposals and an 18.9% edge, Cameron's L5 home game average of 11.4 disposals supports this. His contested possessions sit at 3, below the line, and turnovers at 2.6, indicating potential dispossession vulnerability. Despite facing Richmond with L5 averages slightly above the line, Cameron's overall disposals average of 11.2 and uncontested possessions of 8.8 suggest he may struggle to meet the line. His consistent hit rate streak of 5 in both home and overall games further reinforces this under bet.