Best MLB Parlay Picks Today, Thursday 08/28 (7-Leg) Rafael Devers Prop Focus: Maximize Your Winnings

The under 2.5 bet for Matt Chapman is a promising choice given his recent performance data. Chapman's average hits over his last five games, both overall and at home, are 0.6 and 0.2 respectively. This is significantly below the line of 2.5, indicating that he's been struggling to get hits recently. Even against the Cubs, his average hits per game is only at 1, still considerably below the line. Despite his impressive overall and home hit streaks, these figures represent games in which he's had at least one hit, not the number of hits per game. Considering these statistics, it's highly probable that Chapman will have fewer than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game, making this bet a data-driven choice.

Spencer Torkelson (DET) Under 3.5 Total Bases (-204)

The bet on Spencer Torkelson for Under 3.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is driven by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Torkelson's overall hits average is just 0.8, with only 0.2 doubles and 0.2 home runs. His performance against the Athletics is even less impressive, with an average of only 0.2 hits. Furthermore, Torkelson's stats are lower when playing away games, with an average of 0.8 hits, no triples or doubles, and a current away hit streak of zero. His low performance in these key areas, particularly his low hit rate against the Athletics and in away games, indicates a lower likelihood of him achieving over 3.5 total bases in the upcoming game. Therefore, betting under 3.5 is a statistically sound choice.

David Hamilton (BOS) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-294)

The bet on David Hamilton for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance. Over the last five games, Hamilton has not stolen any bases, whether playing at home or away. His average stolen bases against the Orioles is also low at 0.4. On top of this, his current hit streak doesn't necessarily translate into stolen bases, as he hasn't been successful in turning hits into steals recently. Furthermore, the Orioles have not allowed any stolen bases in the last five games, indicating their strong defense against base stealing. Therefore, given Hamilton's current performance and the Orioles' defensive stats, it's statistically probable that Hamilton will not steal any bases in the upcoming game.

Jared Triolo (PIT) Under 1.5 Hits (-238)

Betting on Jared Triolo for Under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a smart choice due to his recent performance data. Despite his impressive overall and away hit streaks, his average hits per game are below the line set for this bet. His last five games show an overall hits average of 0.6 and an away hits average of only 0.4, both significantly below 1.5. Even considering his performance specifically against the Cardinals, with an average of 0.8 hits, it still falls under the line. His plate appearances also suggest limited opportunities to exceed the line, averaging 2.2 overall and 3.2 away. These stats indicate that it's unlikely Triolo will hit over 1.5 in the upcoming game, making the Under bet a statistically sound choice.

Matt Chapman (SFG) Under 2.5 Singles (-833)

The bet on Matt Chapman for Under 2.5 in the Batter Singles market is backed by his recent performance data. In his last five games overall, Chapman has averaged only 0.2 singles, which is significantly less than the line of 2.5. His batting average at home is even lower, with no singles in his last five games. Despite a strong overall hit streak, the majority of these are not singles. His performance against the Cubs also suggests a low number of singles, with an average of 0.6 in the last five games. Considering these factors, it is statistically unlikely for Chapman to hit more than 2.5 singles in the upcoming game, making the Under bet a logical choice.

Bryson Stott (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-500)

Betting under 0.5 for Bryson Stott in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a sound choice, primarily due to his recent performance data. Stott's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall and 0.6 at home, both below the line of 0.5. Furthermore, when facing the Atlanta Braves, his stolen base average dips even lower to 0.2. This indicates he is less likely to steal a base when playing against this specific team. Additionally, there have been no caught stealing (Cs) instances in his last five games, suggesting that he is not attempting many stolen bases. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, do not significantly impact his stolen base performance. Therefore, all statistical indications lean towards Stott not stealing a base in the upcoming game.