Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 7.5 Points (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers prepare to face off against the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill, particularly when it comes to his scoring. With an average of 11 points at home over his last five games, Merrill has been a consistent contributor, finding his rhythm in the friendly confines of Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. His recent form shows an impressive hit rate, knocking down over 7.5 points in 9 of his last 11 outings, and three of his last four at home. The Raptors have struggled defensively, which bodes well for Merrill, especially considering he's averaged 9.8 points overall in those last five games. With an expected stat value of 14.27, betting on Merrill to go over 7.5 points feels like a savvy move. The numbers are aligning, and with the crowd behind him, expect Merrill to shine on Saturday night.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In Friday's matchup between the Orlando Magic and the Charlotte Hornets, targeting Moussa Diabate for under 10.5 rebounds feels like a savvy move. While he's shown promise, his recent performances tell a different story. Averaging just 8.6 rebounds over his last five games and a modest 8 on the road, it's clear that exceeding that 10.5 mark is a tall order. Even against the Hornets, where he's averaged 7 rebounds in their previous encounters, there's a trend emerging; on the road, his numbers dip to 10.3 against this opponent, reflecting the challenges of away games. With a solid hit rate of 5 out of his last 6 games, and particularly strong 3-for-3 on the road, it seems the under is a sweet spot here. Given his expected stat value of just 7.88, this wager aligns nicely with the data, making it a compelling play as the Magic look

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Moussa Diabate's performance. While he's shown some promise lately, the numbers suggest a dip in production. Averaging just 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists over his last five games, Diabate's contributions have been solid yet unspectacular. When playing away, his numbers drop slightly, with averages of 8 rebounds and 3.2 assists. Facing the Magic, who have been relatively tough on the boards, he's only managed 7 rebounds on average against them recently. Sure, he had a decent outing in the past, but with an expected stat value of just under 9, it's clear he'll struggle to hit that 12.5 mark. With a strong hit rate of 75% for the Under in his last four games, this prop feels like a smart play as the Hornets take the court.

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