Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Tuesday 04/07 (5-Leg) Featuring Victor Wembanyama!: Calculated Risk, High Reward

As the Spurs gear up to face the 76ers at home, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama. While he's undeniably a rising star, the numbers suggest a strategic play on the Under for his combined points and rebounds at 48.5. Over his last five games, he's averaged a solid 31.6 points and 16.4 rebounds, but against the 76ers, he's been more reserved, netting just 25.5 points and 10.5 rebounds in their recent matchups. Even at home, where he shines with an average of 33 points and 18 rebounds, it's telling that he's hit the Under in 17 of his last 20 home games. With an expected stat value of 35.03 and an implied probability of 76.3% for this Under, it feels like a savvy play to take, especially as the Spurs look to manage their young star's energy against a formidable opponent.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 20.5 Rebounds + Assists (-278)

When the Atlanta Hawks host the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, but this matchup may not favor his overzealous stat line. While he's been solid with an average of 10.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists at home recently, digging deeper reveals a concerning trend against the Knicks. Over his last five outings against them, his numbers drop significantly-averaging just 7.8 rebounds and 4.4 assists at home. Even more telling is his overall recent performance; despite a strong 7-out-of-8 hit rate, those averages show a combined potential closer to 14.5 instead of the lofty 20.5 mark we're targeting here. The implied probability of 73.5% suggests the odds are leaning heavily toward the under, making this a savvy bet. As the Hawks look to secure a win, Johnson's contributions might not hit the heights we're anticipating.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 9.5 Assists (-135)

As the Lakers gear up to face the Thunder at home, all eyes will be on LeBron James and his playmaking duties. But when we dive into the numbers, the under 9.5 assists prop seems particularly enticing. Over his last five games, LeBron is averaging just 8.6 assists-barely above that threshold. At home, he's been even quieter, dishing out only 7.6 assists per game. Against the Thunder, his average dips to 5.6 assists when they visit Los Angeles, and it's slightly better at 6.6 in these recent matchups. With an impressive 16 of his last 20 games hitting the under, and an 8 for 9 rate at home, it's clear the King has been more selective in his passing lately. Expect a strong defensive effort from Oklahoma City, which could further hinder his assist numbers, making the under a solid bet in this showdown.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-122)

When it comes to Cooper Flagg's performance against the Mavericks, the numbers suggest a sobering reality. While he's showcased impressive talent, averaging 30.2 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 3.6 assists over his last five games, his away performance has been a different story. On the road, those numbers dip to 23.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 6 assists. Even more telling is his track record against Dallas; while he has had some success at home, he averages just 23 points in their previous face-offs, and his assist numbers take a hit, dropping to 2 on the road against them. With an overall hit rate of 14 out of 19 on the under and a clean 10 of 12 during away games, targeting the under at 40.5 seems not just wise, but almost inevitable. Flagg may be on the rise, but this matchup suggests a ceiling that's well below the mark