Finn Callaghan (GWS GIANTS) Over 19.5 Disposals (-526)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Finn Callaghan has been consistently performing above the set line. With an average of 26.8 disposals in his last five away games and a hit streak of 14 in away matches, he is expected to maintain his high possession rate against Brisbane. Additionally, his recent matchups against Brisbane and overall stats show he is capable of surpassing the line comfortably. His strong contested possessions and metres gained support his ability to reach over 19.5 disposals. The model's prediction of 26.9 disposals with an edge of 8.9% further solidifies the rationale for betting on Finn Callaghan to exceed 19.5 disposals in this game.
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-833)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Dayne Zorko is a strong pick to go over 19.5 disposals against GWS Giants based on his exceptional recent form. With a model prediction of 26.9 disposals and a 3.5% edge, Zorko's L5 stats, especially his average of 24.2 disposals in home games and 24.3 against GWS, highlight his consistency. His high disposalefficiency (73.9%) and solid metrics across kicks, handballs, contested possessions, and metres gained further support his ability to surpass the line. Zorko's impressive hit rates and streaks, including a perfect 18/18 at home and 20/20 overall, indicate his reliability in meeting or exceeding this threshold. Playing at home in Brisbane adds to his advantage, making the Over a compelling bet.
Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Logan Morris is a strong candidate to score anytime in the upcoming game based on his recent performance. With an average of 1.8 goals in his last five home games and facing an opponent where he averages 1 goal, Morris demonstrates consistent scoring ability. His 55.2% goal accuracy and 3.6 shots at goal per game further support his scoring potential. The model's prediction of 1.6 goals aligns with his recent form, indicating a solid chance of him finding the back of the net. Considering his high involvement in scoring opportunities with 5 score involvements per game, the bet on Logan Morris to score anytime against Greater Western Sydney Giants presents a promising opportunity.
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