Reggie Gilliam (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1200)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Reggie Gilliam to score a touchdown anytime during the Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers game appears to be a long shot, given his recent performance statistics. Gilliam's overall hit rate in the last 20 games is only 1/7, and he has not scored a touchdown in his past 5 games. Similarly, his home hit rate in the last 20 games is also 1/3, indicating that even the home-field advantage has not significantly boosted his performance. Furthermore, his current hit streak, both overall and at home, is zero, suggesting that he is not in form currently. Despite the model showing a slight edge of 0.198941344398705, the historical data does not support a high likelihood of Gilliam scoring a touchdown in this game. Therefore, the bet seems risky based on these statistics.
Khalil Shakir (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+195)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting data for Khalil Shakir in the 'player_anytime_td' market does not support a strong betting rationale for a 'Yes' outcome. Analyzing Shakir's recent performance, he has failed to score a touchdown in his last 5, 10, and 20 overall games, as well as his last 5, 10, and 20 home games. The hit rates for these categories stand at 0, indicating a lack of scoring consistency. Additionally, Shakir has not scored against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in their past encounters, both overall and specifically at home games. His current hit streaks in all categories are also at 0, which further weakens the case. Despite the model giving a 0.163248415925071 edge, the observable data suggests otherwise. Shakir's poor scoring record makes it statistically unlikely he will score a touchdown in the upcoming Bills vs Buccaneers game. Betting on the 'Yes' outcome appears to be a risky
Keon Coleman (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Based on the statistical data provided, betting on Keon Coleman to score a touchdown at any time during the Buffalo Bills vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers game would be quite a risky proposition. Coleman's recent performance is not promising, as he has not scored a touchdown in his last five games, both overall and at home. His overall hit rate for the last 20 games is a mere 10% (2/20) and for home games, it's slightly higher at 15.38% (2/13). Moreover, his overall and home hit rates are 16% (4/25) and 15.38% (2/13) respectively. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is zero, indicating he hasn't scored in the last game. While the model gives a slight edge, the player's performance data doesn't support a positive outcome for this bet. Therefore, the data suggests a bet on Coleman to score a touchdown might not be the most prudent
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