Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets face off against the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but we're leaning toward the under on his rebounding prop of 13.5. While Jokic has been a rebounding titan, averaging 15.2 over his last five games, the matchup against Portland tells a different story. Historically, he pulls down an average of just 11.8 rebounds against them, and even at home, that number hovers around 13.2. Moreover, in his last 12 home games, he's only eclipsed the 13.5 mark eight times, suggesting the odds are not in his favor tonight. With the Trail Blazers potentially focusing on limiting his paint touches, we could see a dip in his rebounding numbers. Given these factors, taking the under feels like a smart play in what promises to be a competitive matchup.

Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers head to Denver, all eyes will be on Matisse Thybulle and his three-point shooting. While he's had his moments, recent trends suggest we should lean towards the under on his total of 1.5 made threes. Over his last five outings, he averages just 1.2 threes per game on the road, and against the Nuggets, he's only managed one three per game in their last encounter. Even though he hit over 70% of his attempts in the last 19 games overall, his road performance tells a different story, with a perfect 3-for-3 in his last away games but against more forgiving defenses. With the Nuggets tightening their perimeter defense, Thybulle may find it tough to find his rhythm in Denver. Given the context, taking the under seems like the prudent play here.

Donovan Clingan (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Donovan Clingan gears up to face the Denver Nuggets, betting on him to fall under 11.5 rebounds feels like a savvy move. Despite his impressive recent form, averaging nearly 10 rebounds overall in his last five games, his performance tends to dip away from home; he's pulling down just 10.6 boards on the road. Looking at his history against the Nuggets, he's averaged 12.8 rebounds, but that doesn't fully encapsulate the challenge he faces in Denver. The altitude can impact stamina, and with Clingan's away average slightly lower than his overall, the odds tilt in favor of the under. Moreover, his last three games saw him hit the under consistently, showcasing a trend worth noting. With the implied probability suggesting a solid edge at 57.1%, it's clear that betting under 11.5 rebounds for Clingan is a compelling choice as he steps into a tough matchup in Denver.

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