Jeremy Cameron (Geelong Cats) Over 1.5 Goals (-385)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jeremy Cameron is in top form, averaging 4 goals in his last 5 home games with a solid 58.3% goal accuracy. Facing Brisbane, against whom he averages 2 goals in his last 5 matches, Cameron's recent performance is bolstered by an impressive 7-game goal streak at home and a 3-game streak overall. With an average of 7 shots at goal and involvement in 8.2 scores per game, Cameron's ability to capitalize on his opportunities is evident. The model's prediction of 3.1 goals, along with an 18.4% edge, supports the expectation that Cameron will continue his scoring streak, making the Over 1.5 goals bet a compelling choice.
Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-385)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Shannon Neale is a solid bet to score anytime against Brisbane Lions due to his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games and a 60.0% goal accuracy, Neale has been consistent in front of the big sticks. Additionally, his high involvement in creating scoring opportunities, averaging 4.4 score involvements and 2.6 shots at goal per game, showcases his active role in Geelong's attacking plays. Facing Brisbane, against whom he averages 0.7 goals in his last 5 matchups, Neale's 18.2% model edge and impressive 76.0% overall goal accuracy make him a strong candidate to snag a goal, supporting the bet on him to score in the 'Anytime Goalscorer' market.
Lachie Neale (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-400)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Lachie Neale's recent form, especially in away games, supports betting on him to surpass 19.5 disposals against Geelong. With an average of 30.4 disposals in his last five away games and a consistent hit streak, Neale's ability to maintain possession, evident in his 71.7% disposal efficiency, makes him a strong contender to meet the model's prediction of 27.5 disposals. Additionally, his history against Geelong, averaging 26 disposals in their previous encounters, further bolsters this bet. Neale's knack for contested possessions (13.6 on average) and interceptions (4.4) showcases his impact in the midfield, suggesting he can control the game and easily exceed the 19.5 disposals line at the MCG.
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