Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-500)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Shannon Neale presents a strong case to score anytime against Hawthorn based on his recent form. With an average of 2 goals in his last 5 home games and an impressive goal accuracy of 55%, Neale consistently makes an impact inside 50 with 2.6 marks. His involvement in scoring opportunities is notable, averaging 5.6 score involvements per game. Facing Hawthorn, against whom he averages 1 goal per game at home, Neale's overall goal average of 3 further supports his scoring potential. With a model predicting 2 goals for him and a comfortable 83.3% implied probability, backing Neale to snag a goal is a statistically sound bet.
Tyson Stengle (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-417)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Tyson Stengle is poised to snag a goal in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks clash based on his recent form. With a solid average of 0.8 goals in his last five home games and facing an opponent where he's scored an average of 0.7 goals at home against them, Stengle's scoring potential is evident. His consistent involvement in the forward line is highlighted by an average of 1.4 marks inside 50 and 3.4 shots at goal per game. Despite a slight goal accuracy of 21.3%, Stengle's high shot volume and scoring involvement averaging at 6 per game make him a compelling bet to hit the scoreboard, especially with the model's prediction supporting his goal-scoring capability.
Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Gryan Miers is a solid pick for the 'Disposals Over' bet. His consistent performance at home, averaging 25.2 disposals in the last five games, exceeds the set line of 14.5. With a model prediction of 22.5, indicating a 6.7% edge, and an impressive 87.7% implied probability, Miers' recent form against Hawthorn, averaging 17 disposals, further supports this bet. His exceptional disposalefficiency of 77.4% and ability to generate metres gained (379.4 average) highlight his impact on the field. Miers' current hit streak of 9 home games and 16 overall, boasting a perfect hit rate, solidify his reliability to surpass the disposals line in this matchup against Hawthorn at the MCG.
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