Latest MLB betting preview: Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-417)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Nico Hoerner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice due to his recent performance data. Hoerner's statistics show a lack of stolen bases in his last five games overall, his last five away games, and his last five games against the Astros, with averages of 0, 0, and 0.3 respectively. Additionally, his average caught stealing (Cs) rates are also low, indicating a lack of attempts at stealing bases. Despite his impressive overall and away hit streaks, these do not necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on Hoerner's recent performance and current form, it is statistically unlikely that he will steal a base in the upcoming game against the Astros. This makes the Under 0.5 bet a solid choice.
Dansby Swanson (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for under 0.5 stolen bases for Dansby Swanson is backed by several key statistics. Firstly, Swanson's last five games overall and against the opponent show a low average stolen base rate of 0.2. His performance away matches this trend, with no stolen bases in the last five away games. Additionally, his current overall hit streak is at zero, indicating a recent lack of offensive momentum. Even though he has an impressive away hit streak of 11, the lack of stolen bases in these games suggests that he's not typically taking the risk to steal, regardless of his hitting success. Lastly, the absence of caught stealing instances in the last five games, both overall and away, further suggests his conservative base running strategy. All these factors point towards a likely outcome of under 0.5 stolen bases for Swanson in this game.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-286)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Under 0.5 bet for Pete Crow-Armstrong's stolen bases is a statistically sound choice. Crow-Armstrong's recent performance data indicates a low propensity for stealing bases, particularly in away games and against the Astros. His last five overall and away games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases, and he has not stolen any bases in his last five games against the Astros. Additionally, his current hit streak is relatively low, with just one hit overall and two in away games, reducing the opportunities for stolen bases. His average caught stealing (Cs) rate is also 0.2 in away games, suggesting a risk when he does attempt to steal. Based on these figures, it's statistically unlikely that Crow-Armstrong will steal a base in the upcoming game against the Astros, making the Under 0.5 bet a good choice.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get My Full Access
Bet Better Pro
Stop Forfeiting Value. See the Daily Best Value Bets You're Missing.
You've seen a sample of our analysis. Pro members get instant access to all our high-value opportunities and smart betting angles.
★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
★★★★★ "The CLV edge is consistent. Finally, a service that speaks my language." - James K., London, UK
★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the first two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
★★★★★ "I've stopped making speculative parlays. The data-driven approach here is a game-changer." - Ben C., Sydney, AU
★★★★★ "The time saved is immense, and the results are undeniable. A must-have for any serious bettor." - Michael T. Toronto, CA
★★★★★ "The daily write-ups alone are worth the price. The insights are sharp and actionable." - Chris D., Chicago, IL
★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
★★★★★ "The CLV edge is consistent. Finally, a service that speaks my language." - James K., London, UK
★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
★★★★★ "I've stopped making speculative parlays. The data-driven approach here is a game-changer." - Ben C., Sydney, AU
★★★★★ "The time saved is immense, and the results are undeniable. A must-have for any serious bettor." - Michael T. Toronto, CA
★★★★★ "The daily write-ups alone are worth the price. The insights are sharp and actionable." - Chris D., Chicago, IL