Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Andrew Abbott (CIN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Andrew Abbott for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a strong choice due to his consistent performance. His L5 Overall SO Avg is 6.6, more than twice the line set for this bet, indicating a strong trend of surpassing the 2.5 mark. Even when playing away, his L5 Away SO Avg (Pitching) is 4.6, still comfortably above the line. Despite his performance against the opponent being slightly lower, with a L5 vs Opp SO Avg (Pitching) of 3.5, it is still above the line. Additionally, Abbott has a current overall hit streak of 6 and an away hit streak of 2, demonstrating a consistent ability to perform well. His consistent strikeout average, both overall and away, combined with his current hit streaks, make this bet a data-backed choice.
Jesus Luzardo (PHI) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jesus Luzardo for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is supported by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Luzardo has averaged 5.2 hits allowed overall and 5.4 hits allowed at home. These averages are significantly above the line of 2.5 hits, indicating a high likelihood of him exceeding this threshold. Moreover, Luzardo's current home hit streak stands at nine games, further demonstrating his tendency to allow hits in home games. His innings pitched (IP) averages also suggest he is likely to be on the mound for a sufficient duration to allow more than 2.5 hits. Additionally, his recent performance against the Reds, with an average of 4 hits allowed, supports the bet. Overall, the data suggests Luzardo is more likely than not to allow over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.
Santiago Espinal (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Santiago Espinal for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically sound based on his recent performance data. Espinal has not stolen a base in his last five overall and away games, with averages of 0 in both categories. Furthermore, his recent record against the Phillies also supports this bet, as he has only managed an average of 0.2 stolen bases in his last five games against this opponent. Additionally, while Espinal's current hit streak is impressive, it doesn't necessarily translate to stolen bases. Given these statistics, it's highly probable that Espinal will not steal a base in the upcoming game against the Phillies, making the Under 0.5 bet a good choice.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
★★★★★ "The CLV edge is consistent. Finally, a service that speaks my language." - James K., London, UK
★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
★★★★★ "I've stopped making speculative parlays. The data-driven approach here is a game-changer." - Ben C., Sydney, AU
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