Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Jacob Young (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet for Jacob Young's stolen bases is a solid choice, backed by statistical data. Young's average stolen bases are consistently low across different conditions. His overall average stolen bases for the last five games is only 0.2, and this drops to zero when playing at home. Even when facing the Red Sox, his stolen base average only slightly increases to 0.3. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is also low, which further reduces the likelihood of him getting on base to attempt a steal. Furthermore, the average caught stealing (Cs) rate when playing against the Red Sox is 0.3, indicating a high risk of getting caught if he attempts to steal. Therefore, the data suggests that it's highly unlikely for Young to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under bet a good choice.
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Ceddanne Rafaela for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on her past performance. Her last five games overall and away show an average stolen base rate of 0.4, which is less than the line of 0.5. This trend is even more pronounced when playing against the Washington Nationals, where her stolen base average drops to zero. Furthermore, her overall and away current hit streaks are low (0 and 1 respectively), indicating a potential struggle to get on base, a prerequisite for stealing bases. Lastly, there have been no instances of her being caught stealing in the last five games, which may suggest a conservative base running strategy. Thus, the statistical trend supports the bet for Rafaela to have fewer than 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.
Jarren Duran (BOS) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-455)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet on Jarren Duran in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Duran's average stolen bases in the last five games overall and against the opponent are both zero, indicating a lack of recent success in stealing bases. Furthermore, his average stolen bases in the last five away games is only 0.2, suggesting that he struggles to steal bases when playing on the road. Additionally, Duran's current hit streak in away games is only at 1, which may limit his opportunities to attempt stolen bases. Despite his overall current hit streak of 6, his low stolen base averages suggest that he is not converting these hits into stolen bases. Therefore, the under 0.5 bet is statistically sound.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
★★★★★ "I've stopped making speculative parlays. The data-driven approach here is a game-changer." - Ben C., Sydney, AU
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