Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Nick Lodolo (CIN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Nick Lodolo's recent performance makes this bet a strong choice. His last five overall and away games show a higher strikeout average (3.6 and 4.8 respectively) than the line set at 2.5. Moreover, when playing against the Phillies, his strikeout average increases to 7. This indicates that Lodolo tends to perform better against this specific opponent. His innings pitched averages also support this, with Lodolo often on the mound long enough to achieve the needed strikeouts. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, demonstrate consistent performance. Therefore, based on Lodolo's past performances, strikeout averages, and current form, betting over 2.5 on his strikeouts is a statistically sound choice.
Matt McLain (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-769)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Matt McLain for under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is driven by his recent performance data. McLain's last five games show an average of just 0.2 stolen bases, both overall and when playing away. This indicates a low propensity for stealing bases, which is further reinforced by his current hit streak of just one. Furthermore, McLain's caught stealing (Cs) average is zero, suggesting he rarely attempts to steal bases. Given these statistics, the likelihood of McLain stealing a base in the upcoming game against the Philadelphia Phillies is statistically low, making the under 0.5 bet a strong choice.
Nick Lodolo (CIN) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Nick Lodolo for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is well supported by his recent performance data. Lodolo's last five games show an average of 0.8 walks allowed overall and 1.8 when playing away. This trend is even more pronounced against the Phillies, with an average of 2.2 walks. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's likely to play long enough to allow at least one walk. Furthermore, Lodolo is currently on a hit streak both overall and away, implying he's been allowing more hits recently, which often correlates with more walks. Therefore, the data suggests a strong likelihood of Lodolo allowing at least one walk in the upcoming game.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
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