Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Andre Pallante (STL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-3333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Over 2.5 bet for Andre Pallante in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice, given his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Pallante has averaged 4.8 hits allowed overall and 6 hits allowed while playing away. This trend is well over the 2.5 line set for this bet. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages in these contexts support the likelihood of him allowing more than 2.5 hits. His away IP average is 4.8, offering ample opportunity for hits, and his away outs average is 14.8, suggesting a less effective defense. Furthermore, Pallante is currently on a 13-game away hit streak, demonstrating a consistent pattern of allowing hits in away games. Although his performance against the Pirates is slightly better, the overall and away data suggest a higher likelihood of the over outcome.
Andre Pallante (STL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-769)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Andre Pallante's recent performance indicates a strong likelihood for the Over 0.5 bet in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. Over his last five games, Pallante has averaged 2 walks per game overall and 2.2 when playing away. These averages are well over the 0.5 line set for this bet. Moreover, when facing the Pittsburgh Pirates, he has averaged 1.2 walks, again exceeding the line. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest that he spends a decent amount of time on the mound, which increases the chances of giving up walks. The current hit streaks, both overall and away, further underscore the tendency for Pallante to allow hits, which often correlate with walks. Therefore, the statistics suggest that it's a good bet that Pallante will allow more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Isiah Kiner-Falefa for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is rooted in his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Kiner-Falefa's stolen base average, both overall and at home, is only 0.2. This low average is further supported by his performance against the Cardinals, with a similar stolen base average of 0.2. Additionally, Kiner-Falefa hasn't been caught stealing in his last five games, which suggests he's not taking many risks on the base paths. Considering his conservative base running approach, coupled with his low stolen base averages across different conditions, the under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Kiner-Falefa is statistically justified. His current hitting streaks, both overall and at home, don't significantly affect this bet, as they don't directly correlate with stolen base opportunities.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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