Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Jacob Young (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Jacob Young for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is based on his recent performance data. Firstly, his overall average for stolen bases in the last five games is 0.2, which is below the line set for this bet. This trend continues in his home games, where his average stolen bases is zero. He also hasn't stolen any bases in his last five games against the Detroit Tigers. Additionally, Young's caught stealing (Cs) averages are low, suggesting he is not attempting many stolen bases. His overall current hit streak is only two games, with a home hit streak of just one game, indicating that he is not reaching base frequently enough to significantly increase his chances of stealing bases. Thus, the data suggests that it is unlikely he will steal a base in this game.
Jack Flaherty (DET) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-769)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jack Flaherty for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed (Alternate) market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Flaherty has averaged 1.8 walks overall and 2.6 walks when playing away. This indicates a tendency to allow at least one walk per game, especially when playing on the road. Additionally, his average innings pitched (IP) and outs are lower when playing away, suggesting that he faces more batters and thus has more opportunities to walk players. Furthermore, despite his overall hit streak being at zero, his away hit streak is at 11, further implying that his performance tends to dip when playing away from home. All these factors suggest a high likelihood of Flaherty allowing at least one walk in the upcoming game against the Washington Nationals.
Trevor Williams (WSN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-370)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Trevor Williams has a strong record of strikeouts, particularly when playing at home. His last five overall games show an average of 4.2 strikeouts, which is significantly higher than the line of 2.5. Moreover, when he's on his home turf, his strikeout average increases to 6.2. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also indicate a consistent performance, with 4.8 IP and 14.8 outs overall, and 5.2 IP and 15.6 outs at home. These statistics suggest that Williams has a strong tendency to outperform the line set for this bet. Additionally, he is currently on a hit streak both overall and at home, which further strengthens the case for betting on over 2.5 strikeouts. This data-driven analysis shows that Trevor Williams' past performance supports this betting choice.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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