Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Spurs' matchup against the Trail Blazers, Keldon Johnson's rebounding numbers present a compelling case for taking the under on 5.5 boards. At home, he's averaging just 4.8 rebounds over his last five games, a trend that indicates he's been somewhat inconsistent in his ability to hit that mark. While he has historically fared well against Portland-averaging 8.4 rebounds in their last five encounters-those numbers can be misleading. Lately, he's only managed 4.4 rebounds overall in his last five outings. The stakes elevate with the Spurs striving for cohesion, and Johnson might find himself more focused on scoring than crashing the boards. With an expected stat value of 4.24 and a solid hit rate of 4 out of 5 at home for the under, the signs point to this being a smart play. It seems prudent to expect him to fall short of that 5.5 threshold

Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers gear up to face the Spurs, targeting Matisse Thybulle for under 1.5 threes made feels like a savvy move. Recent trends show Thybulle has been inconsistent on the road, averaging just 1.8 threes in his last five away games and dropping to 0.7 against San Antonio specifically. His overall performance against the Spurs in their last five matchups yields just one three per game, painting a clear picture of his struggles. Moreover, with an impressive hit rate of 18 out of his last 20 games as a visitor, it's worth noting that those successes often come from a spirited home crowd. On the road, he tends to be less reliable, and this matchup against a Spurs team that's been solid defensively adds another layer of challenge. Given all these factors, the under on Thybulle's threes is looking like a smart play here.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs gear up to face the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Dylan Harper, but the smart money is on the Under 4.5 rebounds. While Harper has shown flashes of talent, his recent numbers tell a different story. Averaging just 3.2 rebounds over his last five games, he's struggled to make an impact on the glass. At home, despite a slight uptick to 4.8, he's never eclipsed three boards against Portland. With his current form, hitting the Under feels almost inevitable-he's gone under in four straight matchups, and the Spurs' overall dynamics don't favor a rebounding bonanza for him. The implied probability of 60.6% suggests that a quiet night on the boards is more than plausible. Bet on Harper to remain below that 4.5 mark; the data strongly supports it.

Julian Champagnie (San Antonio Spurs) Under 5.5 Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs welcome the Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Julian Champagnie, but this might be a game where less is more. Sure, his recent average of 6.6 rebounds looks promising, yet the trend at home paints a different picture, where he's pulling down just 6 boards per game. Against Portland, that number dips slightly to 5.6 during their last matchups on his home court.With an expected stat value of just 4.94 and a hit rate of only 9 out of his last 16 games, there's a solid argument for targeting the under on his 5.5 rebound mark. The Spurs' style of play may not necessitate him crashing the boards as aggressively, especially with other players stepping up. Given these dynamics, betting the under on Champagnie's rebounds feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

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