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Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows Prediction & Picks : Stat-Based Insights

May 28th | 12:24 AM GMT Read time icon 4 min read
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows Prediction & Picks : Stat-Based Insights
Predictions

Deep dive into Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Riley Thilthorpe. Check out AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows stats and odds.

Riley Thilthorpe (Adelaide Crows) Over 1.5 Goals (-189)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Riley Thilthorpe's recent form and matchup indicate a strong chance of exceeding 1.5 goals. With a solid L5 average of 2.8 goals in away games and a 53.3% goal accuracy, he has consistently performed well. Additionally, facing the Sydney Swans, against whom he averages 1.5 goals in away games, further strengthens his potential. Thilthorpe's involvement in scoring (6.8 score involvements on average) and his ability to create opportunities (3 inside 50s and 3.6 marks inside 50) suggest he is well-positioned to capitalize on chances. His overall hit rate of 13/18 goals and recent form of 5/6 in away games reflect his goal-scoring proficiency, making the Over 1.5 goals bet a favorable choice.

Ben Keays (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ben Keays is a strong bet to score anytime in the Sydney Swans vs. Adelaide Crows game due to his recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent against whom he averages 0.7 goals, Keays is in a favorable position. His goal accuracy of 43.3% and involvement in scores (5.2 average) further support his goal-scoring potential. The model predicting Keays to score 1.2 goals, with a 7.8% edge, indicates a solid opportunity for him to find the back of the net. Based on his consistent goal-scoring history and strong performance metrics, betting on Keays to score anytime presents a promising wager.

Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Izak Rankine is a strong candidate to score anytime in the upcoming game against Sydney Swans based on his consistent performance in the last five games. With an average of 1.2 goals in away games, a goal accuracy of 44.0%, and a solid involvement in scoring opportunities with 5.2 score involvements per game, Rankine has been a key offensive threat. Additionally, his average of 2.6 shots at goal per game indicates his active participation in creating scoring chances. Given his recent form and the matchup against Sydney Swans, who he has historically performed well against, Rankine is poised to continue his goal-scoring streak, making the Over bet on him a favorable choice.

Josh Rachele (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-435)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Rachele is a strong candidate to score anytime based on his consistent performance metrics. With an average of 1.8 goals in his last five away games and a solid goal accuracy of 68.1%, Rachele has been a reliable goal scorer. Additionally, his involvement in the attacking plays is evident from his average of 5.2 score involvements per game. Facing the Sydney Swans, against whom he has averaged 1.5 goals in the last five matchups, Rachele's scoring potential is further supported. Considering his recent form and history against the opponent, the bet on Rachele to score anytime seems justified.

Matt Roberts (Sydney Swans) Over 19.5 Disposals (-345)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Matt Roberts is in excellent form, averaging 24 disposals in his last 5 home games, well above the set line of 19.5. His recent performances against Adelaide and overall show consistency, with a high disposal efficiency of 75.0%. Roberts excels in contested possessions (6.6 avg) and has a strong track record of turnovers (5.8 avg), making him a reliable ball carrier. His ability to cover ground with an average of 463.4 meters gained further supports this bet. With a model prediction of 23.6 disposals and a 1.9% edge, Roberts is likely to surpass the line, especially given his current hit streaks and home advantage.

Josh Worrell (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Worrell is a solid bet to go Over 14.5 disposals against the Sydney Swans based on his consistent performance. He has been averaging 18.6 disposals in his last five away games, exceeding the set line comfortably. Worrell's strong form is evident in his 9-game hit streak for away matches and a perfect 15/15 hit rate overall. Facing the Swans, who he has historically averaged 15 disposals against, further supports this bet. With a model prediction of 19.4 disposals and a 1.6% edge, the data indicates a high likelihood of Worrell surpassing the 14.5 disposal line, making this a favorable wager.

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