Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Monday 07/07 (Andrew Heaney Highlights): Finding the Edge

The bet on Mike Yastrzemski for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market is a promising choice based on his recent performance data. Yastrzemski's overall average in the last five games is 0.8 hits, which is higher than the line of 0.5. Additionally, his average for runs and RBIs is also promising, with 0.2 runs and 0.4 RBIs. His performance away from home is also noteworthy, with averages of 0.6 hits, 0.2 runs, and 0.4 RBIs. Against the Oakland Athletics, his averages of 0.6 hits, 0.6 runs, and 0.2 RBIs further support the bet. Finally, Yastrzemski is currently on a hit streak, both overall and away, which indicates a consistent performance. These statistics collectively suggest that Yastrzemski is likely to achieve over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market.

Tyler Fitzgerald (SFG) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135)

Tyler Fitzgerald's recent performance makes the Over 0.5 bet in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market a good choice. Over the last five games, Fitzgerald's overall batting average is 1 hit per game, and when playing away, this average increases to 1.2 hits. Furthermore, his current hit streak stands at 3 games overall and 1 game away. Although his runs and RBIs averages are low, the bet only requires a single hit, run, or RBI. Given his consistent hitting performance recently, especially in away games, there is a high probability that Fitzgerald will achieve at least one hit, run, or RBI in the upcoming game against the Oakland Athletics. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting Over 0.5 for Fitzgerald in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market is a statistically sound decision.

Jackson Merrill (SDP) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-143)

Jackson Merrill's recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of him achieving over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market. His last five games' overall average for hits, runs, and RBIs are 1.4, 1, and 1 respectively, all exceeding the line set for the bet. Furthermore, his home averages also surpass the line, with 1.2 hits, 0.8 runs, and 0.8 RBIs. Although his averages against the Texas Rangers appear slightly lower, they are still above the line, with 0.7 hits. Moreover, Merrill is currently on a hit streak both overall and at home, suggesting he is in good form. Given this consistent performance, there's a strong statistical basis for betting on Merrill to exceed 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market.

Josh Smith (TEX) Under 1.5 Singles (-303)

The rationale for betting on Josh Smith for under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is rooted in his recent performance data. Smith's average for the last five games overall in terms of singles is 1.2, which is below the line set at 1.5. Furthermore, his performance away from home, which is the scenario for this game, is even lower at an average of 1. His batting averages against the opponent and away from home are also below the line at 1 and 1.4, respectively. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, are low at 1 and 2 respectively, indicating that he's not currently in a hot streak. Therefore, the statistical data suggests that Smith is unlikely to exceed 1.5 singles in the upcoming game.

Jake Burger (TEX) Under 1.5 Singles (-385)

The bet on Jake Burger for Under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is a solid choice primarily due to his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Burger's average overall and away singles are 0.2 and 0.6 respectively, both significantly below the bet line of 1.5. His overall and away hits average are also below the line, at 0.4 and 1 respectively. Despite a current hit streak, these figures suggest a lower probability of Burger hitting more than 1.5 singles in the upcoming game. Furthermore, the Padres' recent defensive performance also supports this bet, with an average of only 1.6 singles allowed over their last five games. Therefore, based on these statistical trends, betting under 1.5 for Jake Burger is a well-supported choice.