Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 08/05 (Logan Webb Highlights): Finding the Edge

The bet on Luis Severino for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. His last five overall strikeout average stands at 4.4, comfortably above the line of 3.5. Even when playing away, his strikeout average is 5.2, which is still higher than the line. Furthermore, his innings pitched averages, both overall and away, are 6.4 and 5.6 respectively, indicating that he generally stays in the game long enough to achieve a higher strikeout count. Despite a lower strikeout average against the Nationals, his overall performance and the implied probability of 72.5% suggest that Severino is likely to exceed the line of 3.5 strikeouts. This makes the bet a viable option.

Logan Webb (SFG) Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-152)

The under 6.5 bet for Logan Webb in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is backed by his recent performance statistics. While his last five overall games show a Strikeout Average (SO Avg) of 7.6, his performance specifically on away games reveals a lower SO Avg of 6.2. This suggests that Webb is less effective at striking out batters when playing away from home. Moreover, his innings pitched (IP Avg) and outs average (Outs Avg) are also lower in away games, further indicating a decrease in his effectiveness. Additionally, his current hit streak for both overall and away games is zero, implying a lack of momentum. Therefore, considering Webb's lower strikeout, innings pitched, and outs averages in away games, betting under 6.5 for his strikeouts is a statistically sound choice.

Austin Wells (NYY) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-164)

The bet on Austin Wells for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market is a good choice due to his recent performance against the Texas Rangers. His average in the last five games versus the Rangers is significantly higher than his overall and away averages, with a 0.8 hit average and 1 RBI average. This suggests that he performs well against this specific opponent. Furthermore, his run average against the Rangers is consistent with his overall and away averages, indicating a stable performance. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his performance against the Rangers suggests he is likely to contribute in terms of hits, runs or RBIs. Therefore, the statistical data supports the bet for Austin Wells to achieve over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market.

Dean Kremer (BAL) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-278)

The bet on Dean Kremer for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a sound choice based on his recent performance data. His average strikeouts in the last five games is close to the line, with 3.4 overall and 3.6 when playing away. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest a strong performance, with 4.7 innings and around 15 outs per game. Moreover, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, indicate a positive trend. Even though his average strikeouts against the Phillies is slightly lower, his higher innings pitched and outs averages against them suggest he stays in the game longer, thus increasing his chances for more strikeouts. In conclusion, the data suggests a good probability of Kremer achieving over 3.5 strikeouts.

Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-333)

Nathan Eovaldi has consistently allowed over 3.5 hits in his last five games, with an average of 4.2 hits overall and 5.8 hits at home. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further reinforce this pattern. Although Eovaldi's innings pitched and outs averages are decent, they don't significantly impact the hits allowed. His performance against the Yankees specifically also supports the bet, as he has allowed an average of 5 hits in the last five games against them. Hence, given Eovaldi's past performance, the bet on him allowing more than 3.5 hits in the upcoming game is statistically justified.