Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-455)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet on Nico Hoerner's stolen bases is a solid choice, primarily due to his recent performance data. Hoerner's average stolen bases (SB) in the last five games, whether overall, at home, or against the Cincinnati Reds specifically, have all been under 0.5. Specifically, his overall and home SB averages are zero, while his average against the Reds is slightly higher at 0.4. Additionally, his caught stealing (Cs) averages are relatively low, further suggesting a lower likelihood of attempted steals. Despite his impressive hit streaks, these do not directly translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on his recent performance, it is statistically unlikely that Hoerner will steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a good choice.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-400)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Pete Crow-Armstrong for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is rooted in his recent performance data. His last five games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases, both overall and at home. This is half the line set for the bet, indicating a low likelihood of him stealing more than 0.5 bases in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his current hit streak stands at just 1 overall, and 2 at home, suggesting his recent batting performance isn't providing ample opportunities for stolen bases. Additionally, the opposing team's catcher has an average of 0.2 caught stealing, adding another layer of difficulty for Crow-Armstrong to achieve over 0.5 stolen bases. This data suggests that the Under 0.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.
Matt McLain (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Matt McLain's recent performance stats make the under 0.5 stolen bases bet a solid choice. His last five games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases overall and when playing away. This indicates he is not likely to steal more than 0.5 bases in the upcoming game. Furthermore, McLain's average against the Chicago Cubs is only slightly higher at 0.4 stolen bases, still under our line. His current hit streak, both overall and away, stands at just 1, suggesting that his form isn't particularly strong at this time. Moreover, the lack of caught stealing (Cs) instances in the last five games indicates that McLain isn't attempting many steals, further supporting the under 0.5 bet. Based on these stats, it's statistically unlikely for McLain to steal more than 0.5 bases in the upcoming game.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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