Expert analysis and top betting picks for Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies. We analyze the top 6 player props available. Discover NBA player props, best prop bets today, player statistics predictions.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Atlanta Hawks gear up for their matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, but I'm sensing an opportunity to bet the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 18.5. Sure, he's been productive lately, averaging around 10 rebounds and nearly 9.2 assists over his last five games. However, his numbers dip when facing the Grizz, with only 8.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists in their last five encounters. At home, those figures shrink further to 5.5 boards and 4 assists. Moreover, Johnson has only hit the mark in 6 of his last 8 games at home, showcasing a pattern where he struggles to eclipse that threshold. With an expected stat value of 14.22, the under seems like a smart play here. The Grizzlies will bring defensive intensity, and I'm betting Johnson won't reach that 18.5 total tonight.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
When it comes to Reed Sheppard's assist totals, the numbers hint at a compelling case for taking the under against the Houston Rockets. Although he's been a solid contributor, averaging 5.4 assists over his last five games, the picture shifts when we zoom in on his away performances-dropping to just 4.8 assists. Facing a tough Rockets defense, which has stifled playmaking this season, Sheppard has only managed a mere one assist per game against them in their last five matchups. Even more telling is his away form; he's hit the under in 18 of his last 20 road games. With an expected stat value of just 3.42 assists tonight, the under 5.5 feels like the smart play. In this matchup, it's clear that Sheppard may find his opportunities limited, making the under not just a bet, but a well-informed decision.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Los Angeles Lakers, all eyes will be on Daniss Jenkins. While he's shown flashes of brilliance this season, the numbers suggest a different narrative for Monday night. His recent form has seen him hit the under on points and assists a staggering 18 out of his last 20 games, and even more impressively, he's only eclipsed the 21.5 mark in one of his last 20 home outings. In a matchup against a Lakers defense that is known for stifling guard play, Jenkins may find himself challenged. With an expected stat value of just 13.89, the pressure will be on him to produce against a formidable opponent. As the home crowd cheers him on, it's likely that Jenkins will fall short of that 21.5 threshold, making the under a compelling choice for savvy bettors.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Chicago Bulls prepare to face off against the Houston Rockets, all eyes will be on Josh Giddey's playmaking prowess. However, betting on him to go over 9.5 assists might not be the move. While he's been a solid contributor, averaging around 12 assists over his last five games, his performances dip when facing the Rockets. Historically, Giddey's averaged just 4.8 assists against Houston, and even at home, that number rises to only 5.8. With a strong hit rate of 8 out of his last 11 home games going under this line, it's clear that Giddey tends to struggle when it comes to dishing out double-digit assists against this opponent. Given the Bulls' current roster dynamics and Giddey's expected stat value sitting at 7.82, this under feels like a smart play. Sometimes, less is more, especially when the odds seem to favor a tighter performance.
Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 6.5 Assists (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Los Angeles Lakers, all eyes will be on Daniss Jenkins, but betting on him to go under 6.5 assists could be the smart play. At home, Jenkins has been a maestro with the ball, yet there's a compelling trend that suggests he won't hit this mark tonight. Over his last 20 games, he tallied under 6.5 assists an impressive 80% of the time, which includes a perfect home hit rate. The Lakers, known for their defensive prowess, particularly against playmakers, could stifle Jenkins' opportunities. Coupled with an expected stat value of just 4.5 assists, the under feels like a solid angle. His role is crucial, but with the numbers backing this under, there's a strong case to bet against him surpassing that threshold. Trust the data and the trends-tonight might just be a quieter game for Jenkins.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Deni Avdija has been solid lately, but as the Trail Blazers gear up to face the Brooklyn Nets, there are compelling reasons to consider the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists set at 39.5. While he's averaged a respectable 23.4 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 6.4 assists across his last five games, his home performance tells a different story, with averages dropping to 19.6 points and just 6.6 rebounds.Against the Nets, his historical averages dip even further, with only 12.6 points and 7.6 rebounds at home. Plus, while he's been efficient recently, his overall hit rate stands at 10 of 12, which suggests a correction is due. Given the matchup and his recent trend at home, it's a smart play to lean towards the under here as he may struggle to hit that lofty total against a disciplined Brooklyn defense.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro