Peyton Watson (Denver Nuggets) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-217)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets host the Portland Trail Blazers, Peyton Watson is poised for a standout performance that makes betting on him to exceed 9.5 points and rebounds a savvy move. Over the last five games, Watson has averaged a solid 19.2 points and 3.8 rebounds, showcasing his growing role in the offense. At home, he elevates his game even further, notching 20 points per game and maintaining impressive rebounding numbers. Against the Blazers, Watson has historically found success; he's averaged 13 points and 5.5 rebounds at home in their encounters. With an unblemished 20-for-20 hit rate in his last 20 games and a perfect 11-for-11 at home, the data strongly supports the notion that he'll comfortably clear the 9.5 mark. Expect him to capitalize on this favorable matchup and deliver another strong showing for the Nuggets.

Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) Over 11.5 Points (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the New York Knicks host the Washington Wizards on March 22, keep a close eye on Alex Sarr. With a solid average of 12.8 points over his last five games, he's not just finding the basket; he's thriving under pressure, especially on the road where he's averaging 13.4 points. Against the Wizards, he's consistently put up 13.6 points in their recent matchups, which suggests he knows how to exploit their defensive gaps.Sarr has hit the over on 11.5 points in 13 of his last 17 games-an impressive 76% success rate. Even more telling, his away game performance has seen him exceed this line in 16 of his last 20 outings. With an expected stat value of 17.59, it feels like a smart play to back him to go over 11.5 points. Sarr is poised for a big night in a matchup that could very well play to his strengths

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nuggets gear up to host the Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but not necessarily for his typical assist magic. While he's a maestro on the court, recent trends suggest he might find it challenging to surpass 10.5 assists tonight. In their last five games, Jokic has averaged 11.6 assists overall, yet against Portland, that number dips to a modest 8.4. Playing at home, he's managed just 9.4 assists against the Blazers, a significant drop-off from his usual output. Moreover, in the last three outings, he's only hit the over in two of them, and over the last seven home games, he's gone under this number four times. With Denver's offensive focus shifting and Jokic likely to take on a scoring role, the under on his assists feels like a solid play. Trust the numbers; they're painting a clear picture tonight.

Josh Minott (Brooklyn Nets) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When looking at Josh Minott's upcoming matchup against the Kings, targeting the under on his points and rebounds at 16.5 makes a lot of sense. While he's had some flashes of brilliance, his recent form tells a different story. In his last 20 games, he's cleared this mark just twice, hitting the under 18 of those outings. Moreover, as an away player, his performance diminishes further; he's hit under in 15 of his last 16 games on the road. The Kings may present a challenging environment, and with the depth of their roster, Minott could struggle to carve out the same opportunities he enjoys at home. With an expected stat value hovering around 11.16, it's hard to see him crossing that threshold, making this under a compelling play in what could be a tough night for him in Sacramento.

Sam Hauser (Boston Celtics) Over 6.5 Points (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Boston Celtics take the court against the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes should be on Sam Hauser. Playing at home, he's shown a knack for stepping up when it counts, with an impressive hit rate of 9 out of 15 games at TD Garden. Sure, his recent average of 5.8 points at home might seem modest, but against Minnesota, he's delivered a solid 10.2 points in their last five matchups. With the Celtics looking to maintain their momentum, Hauser's role as a supporting scorer becomes crucial. His expected stat value of 10.77 suggests that he's primed for a breakout. Given that he's hit the over in 11 of his last 17 games overall, the odds favor him exceeding the 6.5 mark. It's a prime opportunity for Hauser to shine under the bright lights, making this bet one to watch closely.

Josh Hart (New York Knicks) Under 6.5 Assists (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we approach the Knicks' matchup against the Wizards, targeting Josh Hart for under 6.5 assists feels like a savvy play. Sure, Hart has shown flashes of playmaking, but let's not overlook the numbers. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 3.4 assists, and while he has produced a respectable 5.2 at home, those figures drop significantly against the Wizards, where he's only dished out 3.8 assists in their last home meeting. Moreover, the Wizards tend to tighten up defensively, especially in the paint, limiting Hart's opportunities to set up teammates for easy scores. With his overall hit rate standing strong at 6 for 6 lately, it's clear that this is a calculated risk. Given that the expected stat value is resting at 4.83, and with the implied probability leaning toward the under, it seems like a wise move to bet against Hart surpassing that assist mark.

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