Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 04/07 (Cooper Flagg Highlights): Finding the Edge

As we gear up for the Clippers taking on the Mavericks, targeting Cooper Flagg for under 32.5 points and assists feels like a smart move. While he's been impressive lately, averaging 30.2 points and 3.6 assists over his last five games, the road hasn't been as kind to him. On the away court, those numbers dip to 23.4 points and 6 assists, highlighting a trend that suggests he struggles to maintain his production in hostile environments.Against the Mavericks, Flagg's average of 23 points might sound promising, but his recent outings against them away from home reveal a more subdued performance, where he's only managed 35 points and 2 assists in his last road match. With a hit rate of 10 for 12 on the road, it's clear he's capable, but the current total feels inflated. Betting the under seems like a savvy play in this matchup.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 9.5 Assists (-135)

As the Lakers gear up to host the Thunder, targeting LeBron James for under 9.5 assists feels like a savvy move. While the King is always a playmaker, recent trends suggest he might be more focused on scoring against Oklahoma City. Over his last five games, he's averaged 8.6 assists, but at home, that number dips to 7.6. Notably, when facing the Thunder at home, he's only dished out 6.6 assists on average in their last five encounters. With the Lakers likely to leverage their scoring prowess, LeBron may find himself seeking more of his own shot, especially with his overall hit rate of 16 out of 20 games hitting under this mark. Given the context of the matchup and his recent form, the under on 9.5 assists feels like the right call tonight.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-112)

As the Portland Trail Blazers gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Deni Avdija-and not for the reasons you'd hope if you're banking on him to exceed that 41.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists mark. While Avdija has shown impressive flashes recently, averaging 22.4 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 6.6 assists over his last five, his away performances tell a different story. On the road, those numbers dip significantly, with him averaging just 25.2 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 7.4 assists. Even more telling is his recent history against the Nuggets-his away average plummeting to 13.4 points and 5.4 rebounds. With a hit rate of just 9 out of his last 12 games away from home, betting the under on Avdija looks like a smart move. The numbers are in our favor; let's trust the

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 23.5 Rebounds + Assists (+102)

In the upcoming clash between the Denver Nuggets and the Portland Trail Blazers, targeting Nikola Jokic for under 23.5 combined rebounds and assists seems like a savvy play. While Jokic has been a monster on the boards and dishing out assists, recent trends suggest he might struggle to hit that mark against Portland. Over his last five home games, he's averaged 14.6 boards and 13.2 assists, which sounds impressive until you realize that against the Trail Blazers, his averages drop to 13.2 rebounds and 10.2 assists. Plus, with Denver's offense evolving and other players stepping up, Jokic might not need to shoulder such a heavy load.His recent overall hit rate also indicates that he's only surpassed this total twice in his last three games. Given the matchup and how well the Blazers defend the paint, betting the under feels like a prudent choice here.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 33.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)

As the Mavericks prepare to face the Clippers, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg. However, betting on him to exceed 33.5 points and rebounds might be a stretch. While he's been a force, averaging 30.2 points and 6.2 rebounds over his last five games, his away performance tells a different story. On the road, those numbers dip to 23.4 points and 6.8 rebounds. Moreover, against the Clippers, he's averaged just 23 points and 7.7 rebounds in their last five encounters-a significant drop when factoring in the pressure of an away game. What's more striking is Flagg's recent away form, where he's hit the under in 11 of his last 12 games. With an expected stat value of 27.52, it seems safe to say the under 33.5 on Cooper Flagg is a smart play in this matchup. The numbers favor a quieter night for him.