Today's Top NFL Player Props & Predictions, Thursday 10/02 (Puka Nacua Focus)

Jordan Whittington (LA) Under 1.5 Receptions (-147)

The under bet on Jordan Whittington for under 1.5 receptions in the Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers game is favored by several statistical trends. Firstly, Whittington's overall hit rate in the last 20 games is just 4/11, indicating he often falls short of making 1.5 receptions. When playing at home, his hit rate is 50% (3/6), which still doesn't favor the over. More importantly, his record against the 49ers is poor, with no hits in his last encounter, both overall and at home. The current hit streak also favors the under. Overall, Whittington is on a 1-game hit streak and when playing at home, he's on a 2-game streak. Against the 49ers, both overall and at home, he's on a 0-game streak. These stats suggest a lower likelihood of him achieving over 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game.

Jordan Whittington (LA) Under 1.5 Receptions (-154)

The under 1.5 receptions bet on Jordan Whittington for the Los Angeles Rams versus San Francisco 49ers game seems advantageous based on historical data. Firstly, Whittington's overall hit rate for the last 20 games is just over 36% (4/11), indicating he often catches fewer than 1.5 passes per game. This trend persists when looking at the last ten games, with a 40% hit rate (4/10). Furthermore, his performance against the 49ers specifically has been underwhelming. In all head-to-head matchups, he has never exceeded this threshold (0/1). His performance at home is slightly better, with a 50% hit rate over the last 5 and 20 games, which may add some risk. However, with a model edge of 0.143754180080291 favoring the under, the combined data suggests Whittington is likely to catch fewer than 1.5 passes, making this

Jordan Whittington (LA) Under 13.5 Receiving Yards (-109)

The betting rationale for Jordan Whittington to be under 13.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market is largely based on his recent performance and hit rates. He has consistently fallen under this marker, which is further evidenced by his recent hit rates. Over his last 5 games, he has hit the under in all of them. Furthermore, his overall hit rate is just 1/11, indicating that he only surpasses the 13.5 yards in roughly 9% of his games. Additionally, his performance at home and against the 49ers specifically, both historically and recently, has not been strong. His hit rates in those contexts are 1/6 and 0/1 respectively. The model edge of 0.033 also supports this under bet, although it is a slight edge. Overall, the data suggests that betting under 13.5 for Whittington's reception yards is statistically justified.

Jordan Whittington (LA) Under 13.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The statistical trends favor taking the under on Jordan Whittington's player reception yards set at 13.5. Whittington's performance has been consistently underwhelming, as reflected in his overall hit rate of 1/11, indicating that he has surpassed 13.5 yards only once in his last 11 games. His performance at home is not significantly better, with a home hit rate of 1/6, suggesting he's only surpassed this mark in one out of his six home games. Against the 49ers, his statistical performance is equally weak, with a hit rate of 0/1 both overall and at home. Moreover, Whittington is currently on a zero-hit streak at home, overall, and against the 49ers, which further undermines his prospects of achieving over 13.5 reception yards. Given these statistics, the betting data supports the under for Whittington's player reception yard in the upcoming game.