Trey Benson (ARI) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting under 21.5 for Trey Benson's receiving yards is a prudent option based on several statistical factors. Over Benson's last five games, his performance has been inconsistent, with an overall hit rate of just 2/5. Though his home hit rate over the same period is slightly better at 3/5, his recent form shows a lack of consistency, which is represented by an overall current hit streak of zero. Furthermore, Benson's overall hit rate over the last 20 games is 11/15, indicating that he fails to surpass 21.5 yards in around 27% of his games. Despite having a perfect hit rate against the Seahawks, the small sample size of only two games doesn't provide enough statistical evidence to counterbalance his overall performance. Therefore, based on these numbers, betting under 21.5 for Benson's receiving yards is the safer option.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+205)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Based on the data provided and the past performance of Marvin Harrison Jr., there is a strong statistical rationale to support the bet on him scoring a touchdown at any time during the Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks game. The model edge of 0.174256583557875 indicates a positive expected value, suggesting that this bet has a higher probability of winning compared to the implied probability of the betting odds. In terms of recent performances, if Harrison Jr. has been consistently scoring touchdowns in the last five games, it bolsters the case for this bet. If he's been on a streak or has hit rates that align with this outcome, it further strengthens the argument for this bet. However, without the specific L5 averages, hit rates, or streaks data, the analysis cannot provide a more detailed rationale.
Trey McBride (ARI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+180)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Trey McBride to score a touchdown at any time during the Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks game requires careful consideration of his recent performance and hit rate trends. McBride's overall hit rate for scoring a touchdown is only 7/45, which suggests a relatively low likelihood. His home hit rate is 4/21, and he's only scored against the Seahawks once in four attempts. His current hit streak is also at zero in every category, including overall, home, against Seattle, and against Seattle at home. However, looking at his performance against Seattle at home, he has a hit rate of 1/2, suggesting a 50% chance of scoring a touchdown in this specific scenario. This hit rate paired with the model's edge of approximately 14.5% may provide enough reason for some bettors to wager on McBride scoring a touchdown during this game. However, considering all data, it would be a risky bet.
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