Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 7.5 Points (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers gear up to host the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill's scoring potential. Merrill has been quietly impressive, averaging nearly 10 points over his last five games and stepping it up even further at home, where he has notched 11 points per game recently. Against the Raptors, he's found success too, averaging 8 points in their recent matchups, but the friendly confines of Cleveland seem to boost his confidence. With a solid hit rate of 9 out of his last 11 games for this prop, and 3 out of 4 at home, Merrill is poised to exceed that 7.5 mark. The numbers suggest he could even push closer to 14 points, making this a compelling bet. With the Cavs needing scoring depth, expect Merrill to take full advantage of the opportunity.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate, but a closer look suggests the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 12.5 could be the savvy move. Diabate has been averaging around 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists over his last five games, which already puts him just shy of that mark. When playing away, his numbers dip slightly, with averages of 8 rebounds and 3.2 assists-less than what's needed to clear this line.Moreover, against the Magic, he's managed just 7 rebounds and a mere 1.2 assists in recent matchups. His overall hit rate shows he's fallen under this total in three of his last four games, making the under an enticing prospect. Given the context and his recent form, it feels right to lean toward the under on Diabate's performance.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but betting on him to go under 6.5 assists might just be the savvy play. While he's been a playmaker this season, his recent performances tell a different story. Over the last five games, he's averaging 8 assists, but break it down by location, and the numbers shift. On the road, that average drops to 6.6, and against Phoenix, he's only averaging 3.4 assists over their last five matchups, both home and away. With the Suns' defense tightening and Green's role fluctuating, expecting him to eclipse that 6.5 mark seems optimistic. He's hit the under in five of his last seven away games, making this a compelling opportunity to capitalize on. The numbers suggest a tighter game script, and Green's assist totals might just reflect that narrative.

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